Abstract

GOMEZ, Gonzalo Arturo; CARRENO, Juan Carlos  and  CAVIEDES, Juan Zambrano. Herramienta de software para el pronóstico de demanda horaria de potencia eléctrica en el sistema eléctrico de Codensa S.A. ESP. Tecnura [online]. 2011, vol.15, n.28, pp.7-22. ISSN 0123-921X.

In pursuit of improving and optimizing the energetic resources of its electric power system, the country, in its regulatory framework, has set the need of diagnosing hourly energy and power demand. This paper presents a dynamic model to forecast the hourly demand in the short term, and logical support will be developed in order to obtain an approximate 2% error reduction in comparison with the hourly demand in the short term, and logical CODENSA's present model to diagnose demand.

Keywords : Power quality; Demand for energy; Forecast; Time Series.

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