Abstract

HENRIQUEZ, Yuseff  and  GONZALEZ, Estefano. Measurement of the financial impact of Covid 19 on the integrated public transportation system of Barranquilla (Transmetro). rev. econ. Caribe [online]. 2023, n.32, pp.1-.  Epub Mar 05, 2024. ISSN 2011-2106.

This article presents an analysis of the financial impact generated by the COVID-19 pandemic on the Integrated System of Public Transport of Barranquilla (TRANSMETRO S.A.S.) in 2020. Based on a study of demand and costs, an analysis was made, they modeled and projected the system variables through time series methods, obtaining a hypothetical scenario under the assumption of the absence of the health crisis. This was contrasted with the real data generated during the crisis. The findings show, in general, a seasonal behavior with a growing trend in income. However, the even higher growth in costs implies that the system has operated at a loss since its inception. Annual losses, in turn, showed a downward trend until the outbreak of the pandemic, from which a significant reversal of finances was generated, placing the company's income in a scenario like that of its beginnings and stagnation operational.

Keywords : Transmetro; SITP; COVID-19; forecast; demand; differential rate.

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