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Semestre Económico

versión impresa ISSN 0120-6346

Resumen

PRIETO, William Orlando  y  MANRIQUE, Johanna Elizabeth. IS THE RESURGENCE OF THE COLOMBIAN ARMED CONFLICT POSSIBLE IN THE POST - CONFLICT PHASE?. Semest. Econ. [online]. 2018, vol.21, n.46, pp.57-94. ISSN 0120-6346.  https://doi.org/10.22395/seec.v21n46a3.

This paper aims to present a critical review on factors that may cause a resurgence of the Colombian armed conflict in its post - conflict phase. For this purpose, a comparison of cases from Africa, Asia, Europe and Latin America in the last 10 years is presented around two criteria: The design of public policy during post - conflict, and the results in social development before and after the signing of the peace agreements. Two conclusions stand out: On the one side, community - based planning is relevant during the period of social and economic reconstruction; and on the other, countries with older conflicts seem to have reached a steady state that is accompanied by the consolidation of a system of violence, particularly in rural areas. In Colombia, it can be said that the resurgence of the armed conflict in the post - conflict phase is not feasible, provided that the respective investments are made in the dimensions addressed int the study and their variables (economy, human capital, social capital, institutions, and social development).

JEL CLASSIFICATION:

D74, F51, H56.

CONTENT:

Introduction; 1. Public policy in the post - conflict; 2. Case studies; 3. Descriptive evidence; 4. Conclusions; Bibliography.

Palabras clave : Conflict negotiation; national security and war; armed conflict; conflict resolution; Colombia.

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