Resumo

RAMIREZ SOSA, Cristian David  e  ORREGO SUAZA, Sergio Alonso. ECONOMIC MODELING WITH SPECIALLY EXPLICIT INFORMATION ON DEFORESTATION IN URABA, COLOMBIA 1980-2000. Semest. Econ. [online]. 2011, vol.14, n.spe29, pp.31-51. ISSN 0120-6346.

Tropical deforestation contributes to climate change due to the fact that it's the second source of greenhouse gas net emissions. The objective of this article is to identify the relative importance of the deforestation determinants that were observed in Urabá, 1980-2000. Conceptual models based on economic theory on rural land use where used together with discrete dichotomy statistic models in were the especially explicit information was used. The results indicate that specialization on pastures, corn, the distance from the main regional centers and main rivers of the region where the main determinants of deforestation in Urabá. The information about the relative importance of the deforestation determinants constitutes valuable information for designing public policies and climate change projects in Colombia.

Palavras-chave : Tropical deforestation; climate change; economic modeling; geographic information systems; Urabá-Colombia.

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