Introduction:

identifying people without established cardiovascular disease at high risk is the goal of primary intervention in cardiovascular prevention. In our environment, multiple scales of cardiovascular risk have been applied; however, in Colombia the only scale validated is Framingham.

Objective:

to estimate the agreement between the Framingham ATP III, SCORE and ACC / AHA 2013 scales for the prediction of cardiovascular risk in patients between 40 and 75 years old in a fourth level institution during 2015.

Material and methods:

cross-sectional observational study in patients aged 40-75 years who attended in 2015 in the general check-up service of a fourth-level hospital. Of 4783 individuals a simple randomized sample of 861 was taken. Cardiovascular risk with the Framingham, SCORE and AHA / ACC2013 scales was calculated. Qualitative variables were described by frequency distributions, quantitative variables with measures of central tendency, and a bivariate analysis was performed with Cohen's Kappa correlation coefficient considering as a good correlation > 60.

Results:

the calculation of cardiovascular risk with each of the scales found for high risk AHA 2013 of 14.6%, Framingham 2.2% and SCORE with 1.1%. For average risk SCORE of 26.9%, AHA 2013 of 17.1% and Framingham of 14.4%, and risk under the estimate was of Framingham of 83.3%, SCORE of 73% and AHA 2013 68.3%. The Cohen's Kappa concordance index for high cardiovascular risk between the modified Framingham scale and SCORE evidence a moderate concordance strength (Kappa: 0.47); when calculating this index between modified Framingham and AHA 2013 concordance strength is weak (Kappa: 0.3497).

Conclusion:

with the findings of the study it is concluded that the behavior regarding the risk estimation of SCORE and AHA 2013 scales is not concordant; therefore, their estimates are not interchangeable, tending to overestimate or underestimate the risk. (Acta Med Colomb 2018; 43: 192-199).