SciELO - Scientific Electronic Library Online

 
vol.27 issue60Effects of labor market reforms: ¿More work and fewer jobs?Determinats of Innovation Investment in the Bogota Service Sector: Econometric Estimates at the Firm Level author indexsubject indexarticles search
Home Pagealphabetic serial listing  

Services on Demand

Journal

Article

Indicators

Related links

  • On index processCited by Google
  • Have no similar articlesSimilars in SciELO
  • On index processSimilars in Google

Share


Ensayos sobre POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA

Print version ISSN 0120-4483

Abstract

ARANGO, Santiago; PRADO, John Jairo  and  DYNER, Isaac. Public Policy Assessment for Crime Reduction in Medellín: A System Dynamics Approach. Ens. polit. econ. [online]. 2009, vol.27, n.60, pp.80-108. ISSN 0120-4483.

Medellín has been one of the most violent cities around the globe, where crime rates have been decreasing during the recent years. The continuation of such decreasing path depends on the effectiveness of public policy. This research tests public policy, both preventive and punitive, by using a System Dynamics model that includes the criminal career and Becker’s economic theory of crime. Simulations suggest policies to reduce the susceptibility of population as well as to increase both policing and sentences. This methodological approach can be extrapolated to similar social systems. JEL classification: C1, C63, I3.

Keywords : crime; criminal career; simulation; system dynamics; system thinking.

        · abstract in Spanish | Portuguese     · text in Spanish     · Spanish ( pdf )

 

Creative Commons License All the contents of this journal, except where otherwise noted, is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution License