Abstract

DOMINGUEZ CALLE, Efraín Antonio; ANGARITA, Hector  and  RIVERA, Hebert. The feasibility of daily, weekly and ten-day water-level forecasting in Colombia. Ing. Investig. [online]. 2010, vol.30, n.2, pp. 178-187. ISSN 0120-5609.

This paper analyses the feasibility of forecasting daily, weekly and ten-day water-levels at 20 hydrological stations forming part of the monitoring network supporting the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies' (IDEAM) Alert Service in Colombia (http://www.ideam.gov.co). Such viability was determined by a set of orthogonal performance criteria and implementing optimally adaptive linear combinations (OALC) was recommended for this study as a viable operator for configuring a real-time hydrological forecast system. It is shown that the forecast for daily, weekly and ten-day levels had satisfactory viability for 70% of the cases studied.

Keywords : hydrological forecasting; mathematical modelling; optimal linear adaptive combination.