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Semestre Económico

versão impressa ISSN 0120-6346versão On-line ISSN 2248-4345

Resumo

DE LOS ANGELES DIAZ SOLIS, Victoria  e  MENDOZA COTA, Jorge Eduardo. Analysis of the Unemployment Volatility in Mexico by Regions, 2000-2018. Semest. Econ. [online]. 2021, vol.24, n.57, pp.125-150.  Epub 19-Jan-2022. ISSN 0120-6346.  https://doi.org/10.22395/seec.v24n57a6.

The volatile behavior of unemployment in Mexico constitutes a problem which points to the existence of factors that determine the cyclical dynamics of unemployment. This article provides empirical evidence on the determinants that explain the volatility of unemployment in Mexico. The research employs micro data available in the National Work Survey and the National Occu- pational and Employment Survey for the 2000-2018 period, which determines the rate of partial occupation and state-wide unemployment. The methodology of the work employed econome- tric techniques with fixed effect panels and co-integration panels for analyzing the short and long term. The results suggest that a high volatility of unemployment in Mexico might be explai- ned due to the lower levels of work productivity and high real salaries, accompanied by a greater extent of work flexibility and high occupation rates in the informal sector.

JEL CLASSIFICATION:

J21, J45, J63, J64

CONTENT:

Introduction; 1. Empirical studies on the volatility of unemployment in Mexico; 2. Dynamics of the Mexican labor market and unemployment volatility; 3. Methodological strategy; 4. Results; References.

Palavras-chave : Unemployment; labor market; work economy; co-integration; Mexico.

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