Abstract

SALGADO-GALVEZ, Mario Andrés; ZULOAGA-ROMERO, Daniela  and  CARDONA-ARBOLEDA, Omar D. Probabilistic Seismic Risk Assessment of Bogota and Manizales with and Without the Influence of Caldas Tear Fault. rev.ing. [online]. 2013, n.38, pp.6-13. ISSN 0121-4993.

The new tectonic interpretation proposing the existence of a fault called Caldas Tear has led to a seismic hazard assessment at national level using the same methodology and information of the seismic hazard study updated for the national building code NSR-10. Both results are used for a probabilistic seismic risk assessment of Bogota and Manizales obtaining the loss exceedance curve, probable maximum losses, and the average annual loss. For the estimation of the future losses on the buildings of both cities, microzonations are taken into account. The comparison presents a decrease and increase of seismic risk in Bogota and Manizales respectively

Keywords : Seismic risk; Probabilistic risk assessment; seismic hazard.

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