Abstract

AGUAYO TELLEZ, Ernesto  and  MEDELLIN MENDOZA, Sandra Edith. Spatial Dependence of Crime in Monterrey, Mexico. ecos.econ. [online]. 2014, vol.18, n.38, pp.63-92. ISSN 1657-4206.

This paper studies the impact that the characteristics of the environment have on crime using neighborhood aggregate data of the Monterrey Metropolitan Area for the year 2010. Data spatial autocorrelation is corroborated, i.e. neighborhoods with high crime rates have a positive impact on the crime rates of its surrounding neighborhoods. Once it was controlled through the bias caused by spatial autocorrelation and data censoring, it is evidenced that the likelihood of being a crime victim and the probability of becoming an offender is positively related to variables such as unemployment, the percentage of young men and the existence of shopping centers in the neighborhood.

Keywords : Crime; spatial autocorrelation; the neighborhood effects.

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