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Perfil de Coyuntura Económica

versão On-line ISSN 1657-4214

Resumo

ESTRADA G., Fernando. The logic of the violence in the civil war: The armed conflict in Colombia. Perf. de Coyunt. Econ. [online]. 2011, n.17, pp.165-194. ISSN 1657-4214.

This article proposes a reading of the armed conflict from an evolutionary design that takes into account the concept of private protection agencies in the works of Schelling / Nozick / Gambetta. Their aim is to assess the dynamics of conflict and changes from its author's scientific output. A context of conflicts that includes new expressions of violence and the relative failure of the paramilitary reintegration involves using new analytical models (argumentation, game theory and inconsistent information). The recent evolution of emerging gangs and their expansion into areas that were paramilitary camps requires monitoring not only of the government and the authorities, but those investigating the conflict in the present tense. The author provides heuristic research support from Schelling's theory of strategy, Nozick's agencies and the protection, and Gambetta's recent contributions to the relationship between organized crime and drug cartels.

Palavras-chave : Civil War; Colombia; armed conflict; drug trafficking; organized crime; paramilitary counterinsurgency war; Game Theory and inconsistent information.

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