Abstract

DE LA CRUZ G., José Luis  and  MARIN H., Carlos. The impact of China on Latin America in the United States market, a causality analysis. Perf. de Coyunt. Econ. [online]. 2011, n.18, pp.97-126. ISSN 1657-4214.

The Chinese irruption in the international trade has intensified the global competition putting on risk the positioning that Latin-American economies have achieved in the market of their main commercial partners and hence their longing of development through the constitution of an export motor. For this reason, this study analyses whether there is any effect from Chinese exportations on the exchange between Latin-American countries with the United States. Initially it studies the intraindustrial trade for build autoregressive vectors later and the error correction for determine if there are negative effects that show a displacement from China on the mentioned economies. The results suggest that Mexico is the most affected country for the Chinese competition, while the other nations are positioned as supplier of commodities.

Keywords : International trade; causality; intra-industrial and inter-industrial trade.

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