Resumo

MERCADO CARUSO, Nohora; PUERTA DEL CASTILLO, Edwin  e  SALAS NAVARRO, Katherinne. Improvement of software process estimation. Applied case of software area in Barranquilla. Rev. ing. univ. Medellín [online]. 2015, vol.14, n.27, pp.195-220. ISSN 1692-3324.

The present paper is the result of the following investigation: ''Design of a model to improve the cost estimation processes for software developing companies''. It is presented a revision of the literature at an international level for identifying tendencies and methods for more accurate software cost estimations. Trough the Delphi predictive method, a group of experts in the field of software development in Barranquilla qualified and assessed from the probability of occurrence five realistic estimation scenarios. A completely random experiment was designed whose results point to two scenarios statistically similar in a cualitative manner, from that a three agents model was built: Metodology, capacity of the work team and technological products; each of those with three categories of fulfilment to achieve more precise estimations.

Palavras-chave : Cost estimation; Delphi method; software project; scenarios; expert judgment; estimation by analogy; price to win; software management.

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