Resumo

ACERO PONGUTA, Luz Ángela. A DELPHI study of Colombian post-conflict society and public security: a vision of the future through 2032Um estudo DELPHI da sociedade e a segurança pública colombiana do pós-conflito: uma visão do futuro ao 2032. Rev. Crim. [online]. 2015, vol.57, n.2, pp.267-285. ISSN 1794-3108.

The objective is disclosing facts that hold a key to the future and may serve to interpret Colombian social and public security coming years, as well as the navigation chart designed to guide the National Police organizational and functional changes oriented toward their integral and proper response in the face of a diversity of requirements arising from new social, criminal, environmental and social confl ict-related orders. In addition, a detailed explanation is included concerning the projections obtained from the application of expert workshops, a fundamental axis of the prestigious DELPHI methodology for the identification of facts deemed to be future carriers likely to change the normal course of events confined to the Colombian post-confl ict period. In this sense, the configuration of communitarianism shall become explicit as the main feature in the society of the future, as well as those public security components that may either hinder or facilitate its development.

Palavras-chave : Social conflict; criminology; ecological crime; police; trends in crime.

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