Abstract

GONZALEZ RODRIGUEZ, Julio César  and  ACEVEDO-NAVAS, Christian. Risk diagnosis of the Latin American tourism sector from 2020 to 2022. Rev. Cient. Gen. José María Córdova [online]. 2021, vol.19, n.34, pp.332-355.  Epub Apr 01, 2021. ISSN 1900-6586.  https://doi.org/10.21830/19006586.677.

This article identifies the main risks that could generate crises in the Latin American tourism industry for the 2020-2022 triennium, based on a literature review and a think tank with 38 security experts, within the framework of the 2020 Congress of the Latin American Security Association in Punta Cana. A list of 20 main risks was established o which the group of experts was questioned. A Likert scale was used to define their importance according to their probability or consequences. As a result, it was determined that the main risks that could impact tourism are viruses and pests, natural hazards, sabotage to critical infrastructure, public insecurity, and scandals and rumors. The list was ultimately increased to 27 critical risks as a reference for future studies.

Keywords : economic crisis; Latin America; risk management; tourism crisis; tourism industry.

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