Abstract

PENA TORRES, Parcival; MARLES BETANCOURT, Claritza  and  VALERA ALFONSO, Orlando. Scenario planning as a tool for peace-building in Caquetá. Rev. Cient. Gen. José María Córdova [online]. 2022, vol.20, n.37, pp.44-67.  Epub Jan 01, 2022. ISSN 1900-6586.  https://doi.org/10.21830/19006586.838.

This article seeks to determine future scenarios as an alternative for peace-building in Caquetá, one of the regions most affected by the armed conflict in Colombia and facing enormous challenges in the post-conflict period. To this end, it presents a descriptive study with a mixed approach based on the phases of the prospective cross-impact matrix technique, involving a sample of regional development actors from the knowledge, power, productive, and community sectors. The results reveal that future events in the dimensions of institutional capacities, illicit crops issues, victims of the conflict, and the influence of higher education, constitute the most dynamic scenarios for peace-building in the region.

Keywords : development; future studies; peace agreement; prospective; scenarios.

        · abstract in Spanish     · text in Spanish     · Spanish ( pdf )