<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0120-2812</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Acta Agronómica]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Acta Agron.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0120-2812</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional de Colombia]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0120-28122023000100007</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.15446/acag.v72n1.109207</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Cambio climático y variabilidad espacio-temporal (serie 1980-2020) de la temperatura en Tolima, Colombia]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Climate change and spatiotemporal variability of temperature (1980-2020 series) in Tolima, Colombia]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Urrego-Pereira]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Yenny Fernanda]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[García-Lozano]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jairo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Vega-Díaz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jhon Jairo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rodríguez-Valencia]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Alexa Valentina]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Quesada-Ortiz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Nataly]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad del Tolima. Sede central  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Ibagué Tolima]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>72</volume>
<numero>1</numero>
<fpage>7</fpage>
<lpage>15</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0120-28122023000100007&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0120-28122023000100007&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0120-28122023000100007&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El cambio climático es uno de los mayores desafíos que enfrenta la humanidad y desde ahora se deben tomar acciones para disminuir sus impactos sobre el medio natural, los sistemas agricolas y la vida futura en el planeta. En la presente investigación se analizó la variación espacio-temporal de la temperatura del aire en el Tolima, Colombia, con el fin de detectar tendencias que evidencien cambio climático y modificaciones en la clasificación climática de Köppen en el departamento. En este trabajo se utilizó una base de datos climatológica integrada por 37 estaciones gestionadas por el Instituto de Hidrología, Meteorología y Estudios Ambientales (IDEAM). La base de datos se dividió en dos series de tiempo: (1980-1999) y (2000-2020) y se analizó la temperatura, considerando épocas secas y lluviosas y las fases Niño-Niña-Neutro del fenómeno ENSO, con el propósito de identificar patrones de diferencia en la temperatura y clasificación climática entre las series de tiempo. Luego, las tasas de aumento de la temperatura del aire identificadas en zonas particulares del Tolima fueron utilizadas para la construcción de modelos de estimación de la temperatura para los próximos 20 años. El análisis mostró que el 55 % de las estaciones presentan tendencia de aumento de la temperatura, y para los próximos 20 años se proyecta un aumento de la temperatura entre 0.08 °C y 3.25 °C. Este aumento sería más acelerado e intenso que lo previsto por el IDEAM, para el peor escenario se daría un forzamiento radiactivo de 8 W m-2 día-1. Por otra parte, la clasificación de Köppen no cambió para las dos series de tiempo 1980-99 y 2000- 20, y tampoco para la serie proyectada 2020-40. Sin embargo, el incremento de la temperatura observado y proyectado sugiere aumento de las tasas de evaporación que podrían aumentar la vulnerabilidad a sequías e incendios forestales en el Tolima.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing humanity and from now, on actions must be taken to reduce its impacts on the natural environment, agricultural systems and future life on the planet. In the present investigation, the spatiotemporal variation of the air temperature in Tolima was analysed in order to detect trends that show climate change and modifications in the Köppen climate classification in the department. In this work, a climatological database made up of 37 stations managed by the Institute of Hydrology, Meteorology and Environmental Studies IDEAM was used. The database was divided into two time series, one from 1980 to 1999 and the other from 2000 to 2020, and the temperature was analyzed, considering dry and rainy seasons and the Niño-Niña-Neutral phases of the ENSO phenomenon, with the purpose of identifying difference patterns in the temperature and climatic classification between the time series. Then, the air temperature increase rates identified at areas of Tolima were used to build temperature estimation models for the next 20 years. The analysis showed that 55 % of the stations presented a trend of increasing temperatures and for the next 20 years, a temperature increase between 0.08 °C and 3.25 °C is projected. This increase would be faster and more intense than those predicted by IDEAM, having the worst scenario with a radiative forcing of 8 W m-2 day-1. On the other hand, the Köppen classification did not change for both time series, 1980-99 and 2000-20, and neither for the projected 2020-40 series. However, the observed and projected increase in air temperature suggests a raise in evaporation rates that could increase vulnerability to droughts and forest fires in Tolima.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[clasificación climática de Köppen]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[cambio climático]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[variabilidad climática]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Köppen climate classification]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate variability]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[climate change]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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