<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0120-3584</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Desarrollo y Sociedad]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Desarro. soc.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0120-3584</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad de los Andes]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0120-35842021000200201</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.13043/dys.88.6</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Tratados de libre comercio y duración de las exportaciones: evidencia a nivel de firma para Colombia]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Free Trade Agreements and export duration: Firm-level evidence for Colombia]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Murillo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Margalida]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Leal]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Cindy Paola]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad de los Andes Escuela de Gobierno ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Eafit  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>08</month>
<year>2021</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>88</numero>
<fpage>201</fpage>
<lpage>238</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0120-35842021000200201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0120-35842021000200201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0120-35842021000200201&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen Este artículo analiza la incidencia de los tratados de libre comercio (TLC) sobre la duración de las exportaciones en Colombia. Con datos a nivel de firma-producto-destino se estimaron modelos de duración en tiempo discreto que permitieron identificar que los TLC inciden negativamente en la probabilidad de cese de las relaciones comerciales activas antes de la entrada en vigor del acuerdo, sin embargo, aumentan el riesgo de salida de aquellas que comienzan después del acuerdo. Este doble efecto es robusto para distintos tipos de pro­ductos e, incluso, para exportaciones con certificado de origen. No obstante, las incursiones de firmas que cuentan con al menos un año de experiencia en el sector exportador comportan mayores perspectivas de duración. Se con­cluye que el rol del aprendizaje y del conocimiento adquirido es clave en el propósito de lograr un mejor aprovechamiento de los acuerdos y maximizar las probabilidades de éxito de las incursiones en los países con TLC.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract This paper analysis the incidence of Free Trade Agreements (FTA) on the dura­tion of exports in Colombia. With firm-product-destination level data, duration models were estimated in discrete time that allowed identifying that the FTAs have a negative incidence on the probability of cessation of active commercial relations before the entry into force of the agreement, however, they increase the exit hazard from those that start after the agreement. This double effect is robust for different types of products and even for exports with a certificate of origin. However, incursions by firms with at least one year of experience in the export sector carry greater prospects for their duration. It is concluded that the role of the learning and knowledge acquired is key to achieve a better use of the agreements and maximize the probability of success of the incur­sions in the countries with FTA.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[acuerdo internacional]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[comercio internacional]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[empresa]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[apren­dizaje]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Colombia]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Clasificación JEL: F1, F14, F15, D21, C41]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[International agreement]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[international trade]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[firm]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[learning]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Colombia]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[JEL classification: F1, F14, F15, D21, C41]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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