<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1900-6586</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista Científica General José María Córdova]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Rev. Cient. Gen. José María Córdova]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1900-6586</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Escuela Militar de Cadetes "General José María Córdova"]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1900-65862023000100025</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21830/19006586.1082</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Strength, competition, ideology and rationality: Analysis of claims and recurrence of terrorist attacks (2012-2018)]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Fuerza, competencia, ideología y racionalidad: Análisis de los reclamos y recurrencia de los atentados terroristas (2012-2018)]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rivera-Lozada]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Isabel Cristina]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Gómez-Sánchez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Andrés Mauricio]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Rivadeneira-Daza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Jorge Luis]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad del Cauca  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Popayán ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad del Cauca  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Popayán ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad del Cauca  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Popayán ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>03</month>
<year>2023</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>21</volume>
<numero>41</numero>
<fpage>25</fpage>
<lpage>45</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1900-65862023000100025&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1900-65862023000100025&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1900-65862023000100025&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[ABSTRACT. The objective of this document is to investigate the factors that determine the claims of terrorist attacks worldwide by terrorist groups and to stablish the probability of recurrence. To determine the claims, we used a logistic discrete choice regression model. Besides, for the probability of repeating an attack, we implemented a dynamic negative binomial stochastic model with panel data. As far as we know, this last topic and modeling have not been previously considered. The main results indicate that claims increase when there is harm caused to civilians, attack coercion, competition among groups and Islamic ideology; while the possibility of repeating an attack gets reduced with the number of fatal victims and human rights violations, but it increases with government support to terrorist groups.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[RESUMEN. El objetivo de este documento es investigar los factores que determinan las adjudicaciones de atentados terroristas en todo el mundo por parte de grupos terroristas y establecer la probabilidad de que se repitan. Para determinar dichas adjudicaciones, utilizamos un modelo de regresión logística de elección discreta. Además, para la probabilidad de repetición de un atentado, aplicamos un modelo estocástico binomial negativo dinámico con datos de panel. Por lo que sabemos, este último tema y su modelización no se han considerado anteriormente. Los principales resultados indican que las adjudicaciones aumentan cuando hay daños causados a civiles, coacción en los atentados, competencia entre grupos e ideología islámica; mientras que la posibilidad de repetir un atentado se reduce con el número de víctimas mortales y las violaciones de los derechos humanos, pero aumenta con el apoyo gubernamental a los grupos terroristas.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[claimed attacks]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[human rights violations]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[international conflicts]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[panel data]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[recurrence of attacks]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[terrorism]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[adjudicación de atentados]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[conflictos internacionales]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[datos de panel]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[repetición de atentados]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[terrorismo]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[violaciones a los derechos humanos]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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