<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>2011-2106</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Revista de Economía del Caribe]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[rev. econ. Caribe]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>2011-2106</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Editorial Universidad del Norte]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S2011-21062025000100003</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.14482/ecoca.35.258.357</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Ceará's lobster exports: an approach by autoregressive vectors - VAR]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Las exportaciones de langosta del Ceará: un enfoque por vectores autorregresivos - VAR]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Filho]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Luis Abel da Silva]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Souza]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Cosmo Renan da Silva]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Silva]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Edcleutson de Souza]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Silva]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Yuri César de Lima e]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,DIRUR of the Institute of Applied Economic Research  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,University of Cariri  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Federal University of Paraíba  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Brazil</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af4">
<institution><![CDATA[,Federal University of Roraima  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[ ]]></addr-line>
<country>Brazil</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>06</month>
<year>2025</year>
</pub-date>
<numero>35</numero>
<fpage>3</fpage>
<lpage>3</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S2011-21062025000100003&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S2011-21062025000100003&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S2011-21062025000100003&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract Animal protein consumption has been growing worldwide with the advancement of globalization in trade, and it is sensitive to exchange rate changes and domestic product prices. Brazil stands out as one of the world's largest exporters of protein commodities, and Ceará is one of Brazil's largest fish exporters. Therefore, this study aims to analyze how exchange rate changes and changes in lobster prices affect the volume of lobster exported by the State of Ceará (the largest lobster exporter in the country). The selected period covers 2002 to 2022, and the analysis will be conducted using the Vector Autoregressive (VAR) approach. The results show that there is no long-term relationship between the variables and that the dynamics of lobster exports from Ceará can be explained much more by factors inherent and subjective to the supply and demand for the product rather than by macroeconomic variables commonly used in studies of this nature.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen El consumo de proteína animal ha ido creciendo en todo el mundo, con el avance de la globalización comercial, siendo sensible a las variaciones del tipo de cambio y de los precios de los productos internos. Brasil se destaca como uno de los mayores exportadores de productos proteicos del mundo y Ceará es uno de los mayores exportadores de pescado de Brasil. Por lo tanto, este estudio tiene como objetivo analizar cómo las variaciones del tipo de cambio y los precios de la langosta afectan el volumen exportado por el Estado de Ceará (mayor exportador de langosta del país). El período seleccionado abarca los años 2000 a agosto de 2023, y el análisis se realizará mediante el enfoque Vector Autoregresivo (VAR). Los resultados muestran que no existe una relación de largo plazo entre las variables y que la dinámica de las exportaciones de langosta de Ceará puede explicarse mucho más por factores inherentes y subjetivos a la oferta y demanda del producto, que por variables macroeconómicas comúnmente utilizadas en estudios de esta naturaleza.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Exports]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Ceará]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[fish]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[lobsters]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Exportaciones]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Ceará]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[pescado]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[langostas]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
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