<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>1794-9165</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Ingeniería y Ciencia]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[ing.cienc.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>1794-9165</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Escuela de Ciencias y Humanidades y Escuela de Ingeniería de la Universidad EAFIT]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S1794-91652016000200195</article-id>
<article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.17230/ingciencia.12.24.9</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Enfoque metodológico para el estudio y representación de comportamientos complejos en mercados de electricidad]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Methodological Approach for the Study and Representation of Complex Behaviors on Electricity Markets]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Valencia-Calvo]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Johnny]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Franco-Cardona]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Carlos Jaime]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Olivar-Tost]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gerard]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Dyner-Rezonzew]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Isaac]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="Aff"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="Af1">
<institution><![CDATA[,Tecnológico de Antioquia  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Medellín ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af2">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional de Colombia  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Medellín ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af3">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional de Colombia  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Manizáles ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<aff id="Af4">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Jorge Tadeo Lozano  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Bogotá ]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>00</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2016</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>12</volume>
<numero>24</numero>
<fpage>195</fpage>
<lpage>220</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S1794-91652016000200195&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S1794-91652016000200195&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S1794-91652016000200195&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[Resumen En el siguiente documento se propone un enfoque de análisis cualitativo y con este una síntesis metodológica para definir y comprender el comportamiento complejo de un mercado de electricidad nacional. Para tal fin, se presenta una propuesta metodológica que rescata el conjunto de ecuaciones diferenciales ordinarias, para un modelo basado en dinámica de sistemas, cuyo propósito es reunir las principales características de un mercado de electricidad nacional fundamentado en la estrategia económica de oferta y demanda. Como se mostrará a lo largo del artículo, el propósito del mismo se fundamenta en el aprovechamiento y la manera en que para mercados de electricidad es posible utilizar la dinámica de sistemas y los sistemas dinámicos con un solo propósito, la formulación de elementos de política energética entendidos como un marco regulatorio. De esta manera, se logró demostrar la pertinencia metodológica e incuso reconocer para un mercado de electricidad nacional, los puntos de apalancamiento y las variables auxiliares que cambian el comportamiento del mercado de acuerdo a sus efectos directos en las ecuaciones que lo describen. Finalmente, se concluye acerca de la relevancia y complementariedad existente entre la dinámica de sistemas y los sistemas dinámicos para fortalecer el análisis de mercados de electricidad.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Abstract In the this paper, we show a methodological summary to simulate and understand the complex behavior of energy market models. The goal of this work is to propose the business approach of system dynamics, with the dynamical systems and its mathematical point of view. Additionally we present two ways to perform sensitivity analysis on models based on system dynamics. The first one is numerical sensitivity analysis, and the second one is using Poincaré maps. Finally, we conclude that there is complementarity between the mathematical framework and the business applications for the market. This will allow us to achieve greater exploitation for our models.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[Complejidad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[sistemas dinámicos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[mapas de Poincaré]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[dinámica de sistemas]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[mercados energéticos]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[metodología]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelado y simulación.]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Complex behavior]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[system dynamics]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[Poincare maps]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[dynamical systems]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[energy markets]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[methodology]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[modeling and simulation.]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><back>
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