<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0120-9965</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[Agronomía Colombiana]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[Agron. colomb.]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0120-9965</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Facultad de Agronomía]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0120-99652009000300009</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[Modeling plantain (Musa AAB Simmonds) potential yield]]></article-title>
<article-title xml:lang="es"><![CDATA[Modelo de rendimiento potencial del cultivo de plátano (Musa AAB Simmonds)]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Chaves C.]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Bernardo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Cayón S.]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gerardo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Jones]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[James W.]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A02"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,Universidad Nacional de Colombia Facultad de Agronomia Departamento de Agronomia]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Bogota ]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<aff id="A02">
<institution><![CDATA[,University of Florida Agricultural & Biological Engineering Department ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Gainesville FL]]></addr-line>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>01</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>01</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>27</volume>
<numero>3</numero>
<fpage>359</fpage>
<lpage>366</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0120-99652009000300009&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0120-99652009000300009&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0120-99652009000300009&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[Plantain is a basic food for more than 400 million people of the tropical and subtropical regions of the world. Crop modeling has become a useful agricultural tool whose outputs not only facilitate the scientific study of crop physiological processes, but also the adaptation of farmers&#39; crop management decisions. By using physiological and climatic data from two experiments on variety Dominico-Harton (Musa AAB Simmonds), a plantain potential production model was developed. Based on the results, Light Extinction Coefficient (k) and Light Use Efficiency (LUE) were respectively estimated as 0.2817 and 1.63 g MJ-1. Likewise, aerial dry matter results allowed estimating partition coefficients for both the vegetative and the reproductive stage. Leaf, stem and corm dry matter were observed to increase in equal proportions during the vegetative stage. During the reproductive stage, only the stem was observed to increase its dry matter content (although not as much as in the vegetative stage), while leaves and corm were found to decrease it. A sensitivity analysis established LUE as the most sensitive parameter. In consequence, research efforts should be aimed at improving this conversion of radiant energy into dry matter.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[El plátano es un producto básico en la alimentación para más de 400 millones de habitantes de las regiones tropicales y subtropicales del mundo. Los modelos del desarrollo de cultivos se han convertido en una herramienta de mucha utilidad para investigadores que estudian procesos fisiológicos básicos, y agricultores que los usan en la toma de decisiones para el manejo del cultivo. Con el objetivo de desarrollar un modelo de producción potencial de plátano, se usaron los datos de dos experimentos con la variedad Dominico-Hartón en Colombia, en los cuales se midieron variables fisiológicas de crecimiento y desarrollo, así como variables climáticas. Con base en los resultados se estimó el coeficiente de extinción de la luz (k) en 0,2817 y el uso eficiente de la luz (LUE) en 1,63 g MJ-1. En la etapa vegetativa, las hojas, el tallo y el cormo incrementaron su materia seca por partes iguales, pero en la etapa reproductiva las hojas y el cormo perdieron masa, mientras que el tallo continuó en aumento, aunque no tan aceleradamente como en la primera etapa. Del análisis de sensibilidad se deduce que LUE es el parámetro más sensible y, por lo tanto, los esfuerzos se deben dirigir a mejorar la conversión de luz incidente en materia seca.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[growth]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[dry matter]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[light extinction coefficient]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[light use efficiency]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[photosynthetic active radiation]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[crecimiento]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[materia seca]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[coeficiente de extinción de la luz]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[eficiencia en el uso de la luz]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[radiación fotosintéticamente activa]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[  <font face="verdana" size="2"> &nbsp;     <p align="right"><b>FISIOLOG&Iacute;A DE CULTIVOS</b></p> &nbsp;     <p><b>    <center><font size="4">Modeling plantain (<i>Musa</i> AAB Simmonds) potential yield</font></center></b></p> &nbsp;     <p><b>    <center><font size="3">Modelo de rendimiento potencial del cultivo de pl&aacute;tano (<i>Musa</i> AAB Simmonds)</font></center></b></p> &nbsp;     <p>Bernardo Chaves C.<sup>1, 3</sup>, Gerardo Cay&oacute;n S.<sup>1</sup> and James W. Jones<sup>2</sup> </p>     <p>1 Departamento de Agronomia, Facultad de Agronomia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Bogota.    <br> 2 Agricultural &amp; Biological Engineering Department, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL.    <br> 3 Corresponding author. <a href="mailto:bchavesc@unal.edu.co">bchavesc@unal.edu.co</a></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>Received por publication: 16 April, 2009. Accepted for publication: 6 November, 2009.</p> <hr size="1">     <p><b>ABSTRACT</b></p>     <p>Plantain is a basic food for more than 400 million people of the   tropical and subtropical regions of the world. Crop modeling   has become a useful agricultural tool whose outputs not only   facilitate the scientific study of crop physiological processes,   but also the adaptation of farmers&#39; crop management decisions.   By using physiological and climatic data from two experiments   on variety Dominico-Harton (<i>Musa</i> AAB Simmonds),   a plantain potential production model was developed. Based   on the results, Light Extinction Coefficient (k) and Light Use   Efficiency (LUE) were respectively estimated as 0.2817 and 1.63   g MJ<sup>-1</sup>. Likewise, aerial dry matter results allowed estimating   partition coefficients for both the vegetative and the reproductive   stage. Leaf, stem and corm dry matter were observed   to increase in equal proportions during the vegetative stage.   During the reproductive stage, only the stem was observed to   increase its dry matter content (although not as much as in the   vegetative stage), while leaves and corm were found to decrease   it. A sensitivity analysis established LUE as the most sensitive   parameter. In consequence, research efforts should be aimed at improving this conversion of radiant energy into dry matter.</p>     <p><b>Key words:</b> growth, dry matter, light extinction coefficient, light use efficiency, photosynthetic active radiation.</p> <hr size="1">     <p><b>RESUMEN</b></p>     <p>El pl&aacute;tano es un producto b&aacute;sico en la alimentaci&oacute;n para m&aacute;s   de 400 millones de habitantes de las regiones tropicales y subtropicales   del mundo. Los modelos del desarrollo de cultivos   se han convertido en una herramienta de mucha utilidad para   investigadores que estudian procesos fisiol&oacute;gicos b&aacute;sicos,   y agricultores que los usan en la toma de decisiones para el   manejo del cultivo. Con el objetivo de desarrollar un modelo   de producci&oacute;n potencial de pl&aacute;tano, se usaron los datos de dos   experimentos con la variedad Dominico-Hart&oacute;n en Colombia,   en los cuales se midieron variables fisiol&oacute;gicas de crecimiento   y desarrollo, as&iacute; como variables clim&aacute;ticas. Con base en los   resultados se estim&oacute; el coeficiente de extinci&oacute;n de la luz (k) en   0,2817 y el uso eficiente de la luz (LUE) en 1,63 g MJ<sup>-1</sup>. En la   etapa vegetativa, las hojas, el tallo y el cormo incrementaron   su materia seca por partes iguales, pero en la etapa reproductiva   las hojas y el cormo perdieron masa, mientras que el tallo   continu&oacute; en aumento, aunque no tan aceleradamente como   en la primera etapa. Del an&aacute;lisis de sensibilidad se deduce que   LUE es el par&aacute;metro m&aacute;s sensible y, por lo tanto, los esfuerzos   se deben dirigir a mejorar la conversi&oacute;n de luz incidente en materia seca.</p>     <p><b>Palabras clave:</b> crecimiento, materia seca, coeficiente de   extinci&oacute;n de la luz, eficiencia en el uso de la luz, radiaci&oacute;n fotosint&eacute;ticamente activa.</p> <hr size="1">     <p><b><font size="3">Introduction</font></b></p>     <p>Plantain is cultivated worldwide in approximately 2.3   million ha, which produce about 18.3 million metric tons   a year. Employing about 20 million people, Latin America   and the Caribbean (LAC) produce 40% of the world&#39;s total   production (7.3 t year<sup>-1</sup>), which is therefore critical to food   security. Production is mostly destined to local consumption,   and only 1% is exported to USA and Europe (Inibap,   2001). Colombia is the biggest plantain producer in LAC.   Out of the 2.97 million tons that are produced in 400,000   ha, only 120,000 are exported. Colombia is also the first   plantain consumer in LAC, averaging 135 kg per person   and year (Belalc&aacute;zar, 1991).</p>     <p>Plantains AAB are the largest subgroup of bananas, including   numerous cultivars that vary in shape, size, color and   taste. Plantain is cultivated in a traditional mode, often in   combination with other crops (coffee, cocoa and others),   thus attaining relatively low yields (10 average t ha<sup>-1</sup>). A   popular feature of this crop is that it can be produced   with little management care. Plantain is not involved in   substantial international trade (less than 0.4% of total   world agricultural exports), but is abundant in local markets.   Production is mainly concentrated in Latin America   (where Colombia is the first producer), the West Indies (The Dominican Republic, Haiti), and Central and West Africa (The Democratic Republic of Congo, Nigeria, Ghana, C&ocirc;te d&#39;Ivoire and Cameroon) where there is considerable diversity (Gowen 1995).</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>Plantain crop systems involve the complex interaction of   several processes, out of which a useful model must deal   with those that are relevant to its output. In order to model   and simulate maximum possible dry matter production   or potential yield, the effect of climatic factors such as   temperature and radiation on development and growth   processes must be considered. Climatic data availability   allows estimating potential dry matter production for different locations.</p>     <p>A potential production model does not take into account   water availability, soil nutrient shortage or pest and disease   management (Gary <i>et al</i>., 1998). Thus, its dry matter calculations   are always larger than field measurements. For   this reason, it is difficult to validate potential production   models. However, yield can be optimized by identifying   those factors that limit it (Dourado-Neto <i>et al</i>., 1998; Meira   and Guevara, 2000; Ranganathan <i>et al</i>., 2001). The model   presented here was based on a simple and general crop   growth model developed in Wageningen by Spitters and   Shapendonk (1990) and Kooman (1995), involving light   interception, daily conversion of light into dry matter production,   and dry matter allocation to different plant organs.</p>     <p>A plantain potential production model not only can help   growers determine the best environmental conditions to   plant the crop and obtain better yields, but also facilitates   taking crop management decisions (Lentz, 1998; Marcelis   <i>et al</i>., 1998). The productive behavior of any plantain   variety in a specific location depends on its genotype and   on the environment where it grows, two key aspects that   determine the diversity of agro climatic conditions that   are usually found (Thornley and Jhonson, 1990; Uthaiah   <i>et al</i>., 1992; Keen and Spain, 1992; Peart and Curry, 1998).   Despite plantain&#39;s great adaptability to diverse environmental   conditions, its productivity is still conditioned by the   physiological limits imposed by such adaptation (Turner,   1994). Plentiful knowledge on plant physiological processes   and on the way they are affected by environmental factors   is necessary to attain good productivity in economically   important species. Modeling crop growth as a function   of environmental conditions allows building up efficient   and sustainable production techniques, as well as deciding   favorable genotypes adapted to different production zones.</p>     <p>Although the modeled crop can be a newly established or   a previously existing plantation, the present work is specifically   focused on the first possibility, and it is actually   the first one in its kind. In this context, the objective of the   present work was to develop a dynamic model of plantain   potential growth and yield. The model allows both simulating   different management strategies and estimating dry   matter content of different plant organs. Its design also   permits further incorporation of water, nutrient and pest   limitations.</p> &nbsp;       <p><b><font size="3">Materials and methods</font></b></p>     <p>A one cycle potential yield model of a new Dominico Harton   plantation is presented. Total dry matter was estimated   from the observed values of two experiments conducted   from August 1991 to March 1993. One of them was planted   in the locality of El Agrado, municipality of Montenegro,   Quind&iacute;o, Colombia (04&deg;31&#39; N; 75&deg;49&#39; W). The other one was   carried out in the municipality of Palmira, Valle, Colombia   (03&deg;31&#39; N; 76&deg;19&#39; W). Approximately 2 kg corms coming   from needle type sprouts were planted at a density of 1,200   plants/ha, using a 3 x 3 m arrangement with only one plant   per site. Three plants were monthly sampled during the   nine months of the vegetative period; and then every two   weeks during the four months of the reproductive period   (after flowering). The three sampled plants were dissected   into their constituting organs (roots, rhizome, pseudo stem,   leaves, flower stem, and bunch) in order to measure fresh   and dry matter. Climatic variables for both experiments   were available from January 1991 to December 1993.</p>     <p>Several physiological variables were measured: plant height,   perimeters, length, width and fresh and dry weight; number   of current and emerged leaves, and fresh and dry weight of   floral stem, bunch, fruit pulp and rind.</p>     <p>Non-linear regression analysis was applied to adjust the   curve that describes and estimates leaf area index behavior.   According to a study carried out by Turner (1994) on 30   cultivars, base temperature may vary from 10.3&deg;C to 14.2&deg;C.   Thus, we set base temperature (Tb) at 12.5&deg;C; and optimum   and maximum temperatures at 25&deg;C and 40&deg;C, respectively.   The model was developed in Microsoft Excel&reg; software.</p>     <p><b>Description of the system and   development of the model</b>    <br> As a perennial crop, plantain is featured by yield and physiological   behavior of mother and daughter plants, each   of them representing one production cycle. Even though   the modeling process can be applied to previously existing   plantations or to second or third production cycles, the   complexity they imply is out of the scope of this work.</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>In modeling potential yield, it is assumed that the crop is   only limited by temperature and radiation, implying that   the plants are plenty of water and nutrients, and that no   pests or diseases are present. Daily average temperature   (&deg;C) and radiation (MJ m<sup>-2</sup> d<sup>-1</sup>), constitute the input of   the model, while total dry matter (g/plant) is the output.   Intercepted light estimation and light use efficiency (g MJ<sup>-1</sup>) are respectively an auxiliary variable and a parameter.   Transformation of intercepted light into daily growth (g/   plant), is the main process to be modeled. Cumulative   daily light interception rate, light use efficiency and daily   accumulated solar radiation produce variations in daily accumulated total dry matter.</p>     <p><b>Model structure</b>    <br> A simple schematic representation of the model is shown   in <a href="#Fig. 1">Fig. 1</a>.</p>     <p>    <center><a name="Fig. 1"><img src="img/revistas/agc/v27n3/v27n3a09fig1.GIF"></a></center></p>     <p><b>Light interception</b>    <br> The driving factor that determines plantain growth is   light intercepted by the crop (<i>F</i> int), which depends on the   amount of foliage and its distribution, that, in turn, vary   along the growth cycle.</p>     <p>Depending on the specific crop tissue that is being modeled,   and as it can be seen in equation 1, light interception can   be described as:</p>     <p>    <center><i>F</i> int = (1- e<sup>-k <i>LAI</i></sup>) (1)</center></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>where k is the extinction coefficient and LAI is leaf area   index. The latter was calculated as the quotient that results   from dividing total leaf area by 10,000 m<sup>2</sup> (Spitters <i>et al</i>.,   1989). Total leaf area is the product of leaf length (m) and   width (m), times 0.80246 (Belalc&aacute;zar, 1991). When light   competition appears, intercepted light starts to decrease,   which takes place around harvesting time. For such reason, this phase was considered relatively irrelevant to the model,   and therefore excluded from it.</p>     <p><b>Growth</b>    <br> Expressed in dry matter production (g ha<sup>-1</sup> d<sup>-1</sup>), daily   growth was calculated as the product of intercepted radiation   (MJ m<sup>-2</sup> d<sup>-1</sup>), light use efficiency (LUE) and intercepted   light fraction, which is expressed as g of dry matter per MJ   of intercepted radiation. LUE integrates photosynthesis   and respiration, so any factor that affects it will also affect   these processes.</p>     <p>As it is shown below in equation 2, total daily growth is   calculated as:</p>     <p>    <center>DW = <i>F</i> int*PAR*LUE (2)</center></p>     <p>where DW is total daily growth as expressed in dry matter   (g ha<sup>-1</sup> d<sup>-1</sup>) and PAR is photosynthetic active radiation, which   is equivalent to 50% of global radiation (Monteith, 1977;   Gosse <i>et al</i>., 1986; Kooman, 1995; Jones and Luten, 1998).</p>     <p><b>Dry matter allocation</b>    <br> The model addresses a simple way to simulate daily dry   matter allocation, consisting in only taking into account the   reproductive organs to be harvested (the plantain bunch   in this case) and the vegetative necessary organs that give   the plant its strength and allow it to produce assimilates.   Its approach to dry matter allocation consists in estimating   each organ&#39;s fraction from total dry matter. Hence, the   growth rate of each organ can be written as shown below   in equations 3 to 6 (Marcelis, 1994; Kooman, 1995; Marcelis   <i>et al</i>., 1998; Salazar <i>et al</i>., 2008):</p>     <p>    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<center>Bunch fraction: <i>DWFRUIT</i> = &alpha;<sub>f</sub> * <i>DW</i> (3)</center>    <br>     <center>Leaf fraction: <i>DWLEAVES</i> = &alpha;<sub>l</sub> * <i>DW</i> (4)</center>    <br>     <center>Stem fraction: <i>DWSTEM</i> = &alpha;<sub>s</sub> * <i>DW</i> (5)</center>    <br>     <center>Corm fraction: <i>DWCORM</i> = (1 - &alpha;<sub>l</sub> - &alpha;<sub>s</sub> - &alpha;<sub>f</sub> ) * <i>DW</i> (6)</center></p>     <p>where &alpha;<sub>l</sub>, &alpha;<sub>s</sub> and &alpha;<sub>f</sub> are the partition coefficients for leaves,   stem and fruit, respectively.</p>     <p>Given that bunch biomass allocation only takes place after   flowering, until then &alpha;<sub>f</sub> is equal to 0.</p>     <p><b>Dry matter simulation</b>    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<br> Total daily dry matter was simulated through Euler&#39;s   method (Van Kraalingen, 1995; Salazar <i>et al</i>., 2008), as   presented below in equation 7:</p>     <p>    <center>W<sub>t</sub> = W<sub>t-1</sub> + dW<sub>t</sub> &Delta;t (7)</center></p>     <p>where Wt is total dry matter (g m<sup>-2</sup>) at time t; W<sub>t-1</sub> is total dry   matter at time t-1 (g m<sup>-2</sup>); dWt is dry matter daily growth   rate (g m<sup>-2</sup> d<sup>-1</sup>), and &Delta;t is the time increment (1 day).</p> &nbsp;       <p><b><font size="3">Results and discussion</font></b></p>     <p><b>Leaf Area Index (LAI)</b>    <br> Light interception was derived from LAI, which was calculated   as total leaf area/10,000 m<sup>2</sup> for 1,111 plants/ha. Thermal   time was calculated using a Tb value of 12.5&deg;C (Turner,   1994) and a weather database for the period between the   planting date (01-02-1991) and the last measurement (25-   02-1992). A non-linear regression equation was fitted in   order to estimate LAI as a function of time after planting,   using a sigmoid logistic curve.</p>     <p>As it can be seen in equation 8, the predictive mathematical   expression is:</p>     <p>    <center><i>PLAI</i> = 12.9454/(1 + exp(-0.0306(<i>T</i> - 130.6))) (8)</center></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>where 12.9454 m<sup>2</sup> is maximum LAI (m), 0.0306 is the slope   of the curve (b), and 130.6 is the time in days during which   LAI growth rate is maximum (c). RMSE was 1.5145; <i>R</i><sup>2</sup>   was 98.10% and standard error values for m, b and c were   respectively 0.6767, 0.000879 and 130.6 (<a href="#Fig. 2">Fig. 2</a>).</p>     <p>    <center><a name="Fig. 2"><img src="img/revistas/agc/v27n3/v27n3a09fig2.GIF"></a></center></p>       <p>The precision of many photosynthesis models depends   mostly on accurately predicting LAI, which is generally   related to light interception. Two approaches have been   frequently used to simulate leaf area development: (1)   leaf area as a function of plant development, and (2) as a   prediction from estimated leaf dry matter (Marcelis <i>et al</i>.,   1998). LAI development is strongly influenced by radiation   (Marcelis <i>et al</i>., 1998); for this reason, the first approach   is frequently imprecise for greenhouse crops, due to fluctuations   in radiation (annual crops). Nevertheless, some authors combine both methods, as is the case of Spitters <i>et al</i>. (1989) in annual species, De Visser (1994) in Onion, De Visser <i>et al</i>. (1995) in carrot, and Gijzen <i>et al</i>. (1998) in vegetables under greenhouse conditions.</p>     <p>In tomato and rose crops, Marcelis <i>et al</i>. (1998) have estimated   LAI using constant values of specific leaf area (SLA) as a   function of developmental stage or of source-sink relations.   Basing LAI modeling on estimated leaf dry matter and SLA   constitutes a more flexible approach, and has been applied   in several crop models such as tomato (Heuvelink, 1999),   lettuce (Van Henten, 1994), rose (Lieth and Pasian, 1991),   chrysanthemum (Lee and Heuvelink, 2003) and oil palm   (Awal <i>et al</i>., 2004). According to Lee and Heuvelink (2003),   prior-to-canopy-closing LAI values have been frequently   overestimated.</p>     <p><b>Estimation of total dry matter parameters</b></p>     <p><b><i>Light use efficiency (LUE)</i></b>    <br> An iterative non-linear optimization procedure was used   to minimize the square sum of the differences between   observed and predicted dry matter values, through a Microsoft   Excel&reg; solver tool. The minimum square sum was   found when LUE = 1.63 g MJ<sup>-1</sup>. Regarding the American   tropic, and specifically Colombia, Salazar <i>et al</i>. (2008) developed   a cape gooseberry (<i>Physalis peruviana</i>) potential   production model that describes dry mass production   and distribution from the moment of planting to the end   of the first harvest cycle. Their model presents LUE values   of 0.46 g MJ<sup>-1</sup> for the vegetative stage, and 2.62 g MJ<sup>-1</sup> for   the reproductive stage. In other studies, LUE (g MJ<sup>-1</sup>) has   been observed to depend on crop management and sowing   density, ranging from 2.1 to 3.2 in the case of potato (Kooman,   1995) and from 1.92 to 2.02 in peanuts, (Kiniry <i>et al</i>., 2005); similar measurements are 1.81&plusmn;0.05 for wheat,   1.52 &plusmn;0.05 for pea and 1.92&plusmn;0.12 for mustard (O&#39;Connell   <i>et al</i>., 2004). Kooman (1995) pointed out that LUE changes   with plant development.</p>     <p><b><i>Intercepted light</i></b></p>     <p>According to equation 9, daily intercepted light was determined   as:</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>    <center><i>F</i> int(t) = (1 - e<sup>k * LAI</sup>) (9)</center></p>     <p>where k = 0.2817 is the extinction coefficient and LAI was   estimated by the logistic function. <a href="#Fig. 3">Fig. 3</a> shows intercepted   light through time after planting. Approximately 150 d   after planting, the foliage was intercepting close to 0,9 of   global radiation.</p>     <p>    <center><a name="Fig. 3"><img src="img/revistas/agc/v27n3/v27n3a09fig3.GIF"></a></center></p>       <p>Extinction coefficient k depends on plant architecture and   leaf position, angle and orientation. Several models have been developed in different crops to estimate this coefficient   (Marcelis <i>et al</i>., 1994), whose values vary with planting   density. In the case of coffee, for example, Castillo <i>et al</i>.   (1996) reported different k values for different planting   densities. For 2,500; 5,000; 7,500 and 10,000 coffee plants/ha, k values were respectively 0.46, 0.48, 0.60 and 0.61.   Heuvelink (1995) reported k = 0.72 for tomato densities of   2.3 and 2.6 plants/m<sup>2</sup>. Carranza <i>et al</i>. (2008) found k values   of 0.5120 and 0.5052 for two simple dry mass distribution   models in broccoli (<i>Brassica oleracea</i> var. <i>italica</i>) and cabbage   (<i>Brassica oleracea</i>), respectively.</p>     <p><b><i>Parameters for dry matter distribution   to leaves, stem, corm and bunch</i></b>    <br> Plant developmental stage determines the pattern of dry   matter distribution to different organs, and leaf area growth   determines the light interception pattern (Kooman, 1995).   As a simple way of simulating total dry matter distribution,   the present model considers two stages: vegetative   and reproductive. The vegetative stage corresponds to the   production of leaves, corm and stem, which are necessary   to form the plant and produce assimilates. In calculating   biomass partition during the reproductive stage, flowers   and bunch need also be considered, in addition to leaves,   corm and stems. In doing so, the different organs of the   plant were assumed to compete for assimilates, each of them   representing a fraction of total dry matter, and varying with   the physiological stages. This led to calculating the fractions   independently for each organ at each stage.</p>     <p>In order to estimate the partition coefficient (&alpha;<sub>o</sub>), each   organ&#39;s observed and estimated dry matter square sum   was calculated and integrated into a single expression   that assigns them all the same weight. Thus, the objective   function to be minimized (equation 10) was:</p>     <p>    ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<center>OF = SS<sub>f</sub>/S<sup>2</sup><sub>f</sub> + SS<sub>l</sub>/S<sup>2</sup><sub>l</sub> + SS<sub>s</sub>/S<sup>2</sup><sub>s</sub> + SS<sub>c</sub>/S<sup>2</sup><sub>c</sub> (10)</center></p>     <p>where SS<sub>f</sub>, SS<sub>l</sub>, SS<sub>s</sub> and SS<sub>c</sub> are the respective square sums   of the differences between observed and estimated bunch,   leaf, stem and corm dry matter values; and S<sup>2</sup> <sub>f</sub>, S<sup>2</sup> <sub>l</sub>, S<sup>2</sup> <sub>s</sub> , S<sup>2</sup> <sub>c</sub> are the variances of the observed data.</p>     <p>As mentioned above, before flowering &alpha;<sub>f</sub>> equals 0. Consequently,   the OF function was divided in two objective   functions to be minimized: one for the vegetative stage, and   another one for the reproductive stage (Salazar <i>et al</i>., 2008).   For the vegetative stage, the OF function was minimized   using the values of the estimated parameters &alpha;<sub>l</sub>=0.3387, &alpha;<sub>s</sub>=0.3550 and &alpha;<sub>c</sub>=0.3058. Except for the root, dry matter of leaves, stem and corm was found to increase in equal proportions during the vegetative stage, indicating that there was no selectivity for assimilates on the part of the plant organs. Even though during the reproductive stage almost all assimilates went to the bunch (implying that &alpha;<sub>f</sub>=1), the stem still exhibited some growth. The parameters of the reproductive stage were estimated with the same methodology.</p>     <p>For the reproductive stage, &alpha;<sub>l</sub>=-0.0121, &alpha;<sub>s</sub>=0.2009, &alpha;<sub>c</sub>=-0.2526 and &alpha;<sub>f</sub>=1.0639. The negative values of leaf and corm fractions imply that these organs lost mass because part of their assimilates were transferred to the bunch, and possibly to daughter plants and roots as well. <a href="#Fig. 4">Fig. 4</a> shows the amount of dry matter of each modeled organ. A negative relation can be clearly observed between dry matter accumulation in the bunch and loss of corm mass. While the leaves did not gain mass, the stem continued to increase. At the end of the experiment, bunch dry matter represented 45.28% of total aerial dry matter, to support which stem and root structures need to be sufficiently strong. The corm was observed to start losing dry matter before bunch formation, probably at flowering (<a href="#Fig. 4">Fig. 4</a>). It is important to consider and measure the flowering process in order to include this organ in the model&#39;s explanation of the gap between the beginning of dry matter loss by the corm and the formation of the bunch.</p>     <p>    <center><a name="Fig. 4"><img src="img/revistas/agc/v27n3/v27n3a09fig4.GIF"></a></center></p>     <p>Although flowering usually marks the limit between the   vegetative and reproductive stages, in the present work   such limit was set at bunch inception. This date changeover   resulted from the environmental conditions of the   experiment sites, and is likely influenced by differences in   stage of growth at the moment of planting. Salazar <i>et al</i>.   (2008) found respective stem and leaf dry matter partition   coefficients of 0.72 and 0.28 during the vegetative stage; and of 0.09, 0.23 and 0.69 for leaves, stem and fruits during   the reproductive stage. Likewise, Carranza <i>et al</i>. (2008)   reported respective partition coefficients of 0.4662, 0.4513   and 0.0825 for leaves, stems and root in the vegetative stage   of broccoli; and of 0.1418, 0.3643, 0.2709, and 0.2230 for   leaves, stems, root and flowers in the reproductive stage. In   cabbage, such coefficients were 0.6530, 0.2841 and 0.0630   for leaves, stems and root, respectively.</p>     <p><b><i>Total dry matter sensitivity analysis</i></b>    <br> In order to determine parameter sensitivity for k, LUE   and k*LUE, the model was run nine times, changing the   values of the parameters to make up a 3*3 factorial array.   As a result of the analysis of variance, LUE comes up as   the most sensitive parameter, whose square sum represents   98.1% of the total sum squares; in turn, k represents   1.77%, and k*LUE, 0.13%. As well as in the case of total   dry matter, LUE was observed to be the most important   parameter accounting for fruit yield. In fact, within the   variation range of LUE, yield was found to be directly   proportional to it. In practice, all this means that it is   important to conduct efforts aimed at improving CO<sub>2</sub>   capture through breeding and crop management, paying   special attention to factors such as population density,   planting system, planting date, appropriate cultivation   zones and cultural management.</p>     <p>Great part of the assimilates accumulated in the corm   until flowering supply bunch formation during the reproductive   stage, so a timely cultural management aimed   at eliminating organ competition should be carried out.   Furthermore, stem partition coefficient was observed to   increase from the vegetative to the reproductive stage,   probably in order to support the bunch. In contrast,   leaf dry matter proportion decreased considerably from   the first to the second stage. Total dry matter response   and uncertainty were linear with respect to K and LUE.   Although larger values are desirable for these parameters,   a suitable balance must be found between K, LUE, total   dry matter and their variability.</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>The model presented here does not take into account heterogeneous   development and growth. However, it predicts   biomass trough time, and must be understood as representing   the growth of a single plant during its first production   cycle. In this sense, Tixer <i>et al</i>. (2004) report a probability   based SIMBA-POP model, calibrated and validated to   predict banana harvest, but not involving plant growth or development anyway.</p> &nbsp;     <p><b><font size="3">Conclusions</font></b></p>     <p>Modeling plantain potential yield allowed determining and   estimating some of the parameters that affect it, namely k,   LUE, and total dry matter partition coefficients. The distributive   model clearly shows the dynamics and processes   of the crop, particularly focusing on the translocation of   assimilates from the vegetative organs (especially the corm)   to the bunch. In estimating the parameters, two stages   were considered, which led to minimizing two objective   functions, one for the vegetative stage, and another one for   the reproductive stage. At the beginning of the reproductive   stage (bunch inception), assimilate dynamics undergo a   remarkable change when leaf dry matter stops increasing.   Stem dry mater continues to increase, but corm dry matter   decreases to transfer assimilates to the bunch, and possibly   to the roots and daughter plants. Given that it contributes   to understanding assimilate distribution dynamics, it is   advisable to include flower dry matter in the model. Among   the evaluated model&#39;s parameters, LUE comes up as the   one that most sensitively affects yield. Further research   should be aimed at improving CO<sub>2</sub> capture and assimilate   formation via crop management as well as plant breeding.</p>     <p>It is advisable to include more components in the model   and to continue evaluating them through sensitivity analysis   and validation processes. Once the complete potential   growth model is ready, it shall be possible to include soil,   water and nutrient limitations, as well as mass reduction   caused by pests and diseases. Finally, with the aim of   maximizing the profit, the economic component should   also be included.</p> &nbsp;       <p><b><font size="3">Literature cited</font></b></p>     <!-- ref --><p>Awal, M.A., I. Wan, J. Endan, and M. Haniff. 2004. Determination   of specific leaf area and leaf area-leaf mass relationship in an   oil palm plantation. Asian J. 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