<?xml version="1.0" encoding="ISO-8859-1"?><article xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance">
<front>
<journal-meta>
<journal-id>0122-5383</journal-id>
<journal-title><![CDATA[CT&F - Ciencia, Tecnología y Futuro]]></journal-title>
<abbrev-journal-title><![CDATA[C.T.F Cienc. Tecnol. Futuro]]></abbrev-journal-title>
<issn>0122-5383</issn>
<publisher>
<publisher-name><![CDATA[Instituto Colombiano del Petróleo (ICP) - ECOPETROL S.A.]]></publisher-name>
</publisher>
</journal-meta>
<article-meta>
<article-id>S0122-53832009000100008</article-id>
<title-group>
<article-title xml:lang="en"><![CDATA[PREDICTION OF THE FCC FEEDSTOCKS CRACKABILITY]]></article-title>
</title-group>
<contrib-group>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Martínez-Cruz]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Francy-L]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Navas-Guzmán]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Gustavo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
<contrib contrib-type="author">
<name>
<surname><![CDATA[Osorio-Suárez]]></surname>
<given-names><![CDATA[Juan-Pablo]]></given-names>
</name>
<xref ref-type="aff" rid="A01"/>
</contrib>
</contrib-group>
<aff id="A01">
<institution><![CDATA[,Ecopetrol S.A. - Instituto Colombiano del Petróleo  ]]></institution>
<addr-line><![CDATA[Bucaramanga Santander]]></addr-line>
<country>Colombia</country>
</aff>
<pub-date pub-type="pub">
<day>01</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<pub-date pub-type="epub">
<day>01</day>
<month>12</month>
<year>2009</year>
</pub-date>
<volume>3</volume>
<numero>5</numero>
<fpage>125</fpage>
<lpage>142</lpage>
<copyright-statement/>
<copyright-year/>
<self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&amp;pid=S0122-53832009000100008&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_abstract&amp;pid=S0122-53832009000100008&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><self-uri xlink:href="http://www.scielo.org.co/scielo.php?script=sci_pdf&amp;pid=S0122-53832009000100008&amp;lng=en&amp;nrm=iso"></self-uri><abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="en"><p><![CDATA[This paper presents a statistical model for prediction of feedstock&rsquo;s crackability (potential to generate va-luable products on catalytic cracking process), based on experimental reactivity data by microactivity test (MAT - Microscale Fixed Bed Reactor) and detailed physicochemical characterization. A minimum amount of experimental tests corresponding to feed properties (typically available at refinery) is used to build a more complete description of feedstocks including chemical composition and hydrocarbon distribution. Both measured and calculated physicochemical properties are used to predict the yields of main products at several MAT reaction severities. Different well known functions correlating yields and conversion (previously tested with experimental data MAT) allows the evaluation of maximum point of gasoline yield. This point is used like a crackability index and qualitative point comparison of feedstock&rsquo;s potential. Extensive feedstocks data base from Instituto Colombiano del Petróleo (ICP) with a wide range of composition were used to build the model, including the following feeds: 1. Light feedstocks - Gasoils of refinery and laboratory cuts from different types of Colombian crude oils and 2. Heavy feedstoks - Residues or feedstocks combined (blending of gasoil [GO], atmospheric tower bottom [ATB], demetallized oil [DMO] and demetallized oil hydrotreated [DMOH] in several proportions) from the four fluid catalytic cracking units (FCCU) at Ecopetrol S.A. refinery in Barrancabermeja - Colombia . The results of model show the prediction of valuable products such as gasoline for different refinery feedstocks within acceptable accuracy, thus obtaining a reliable ranking of crackability.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="es"><p><![CDATA[En este trabajo se presenta un modelo estadístico para la predicción de la craqueabilidad de cargas (potencial para generar productos valiosos en el proceso de ruptura catalítica), basado en datos experimentales de reactividad, obtenidos por pruebas de microactividad (MAT - Reactor de Lecho Fijo de Laboratorio) y caracterización fisicoquímica detallada. Se utiliza una cantidad mínima de mediciones experimentales disponibles en una refinería promedio, a partir de las cuales se construye una descripción más completa de la carga. Esta descripción fisicoquímica es usada para predecir los rendimientos de los principales productos en un amplio rango de severidades. Diferentes funciones que relacionan los rendimientos con la conversión (previamente probadas con los datos experimentales MAT), permiten evaluar el punto de máximo potencial a gasolina y comparar cualitativamente la craqueabilidad de un conjunto de cargas. Una extensa base de datos del Instituto Colombiano del Petróleo (ICP) con un amplio rango de composiciones fue usada para construir el modelo, la cual incluyó: 1. Cargas livianas - Gasóleos de refinería y cortes de laboratorio de diferentes tipos de crudos Colombianos y 2. Cargas pesadas - Residuos o cargas combinadas (mezcla de gasóleo [GO], fondo atmosférico de vacío [ATB], aceite desmetalizado [DMO] y aceite hidrotratado desmetalizado [DMOH] en diferentes proporciones) de las cuatro unidades de ruptura catalítica (FCCU) de la refinería de ECOPETROL S.A de Barrancabermeja-Colombia. Los resultados muestran una aceptable precisión en la predicción del potencial de distintas cargas de refinería, respecto a productos valiosos como la gasolina, obteniéndose una clasificación confiable de su craqueabilidad.]]></p></abstract>
<abstract abstract-type="short" xml:lang="pt"><p><![CDATA[Neste trabalho apresenta-se um modelo estatístico para a predição da craqueabilidade de cargas (potencial para gerar produtos valiosos no processo de ruptura catalítica), baseado em dados experimentais de reatividade, obtidos por provas de micro-atividade (MAT - Reator de Leito Fixo de Laboratório) e caracterização físico-química detalhada. Utilizase uma quantidade mínima de medições experimentais disponíveis em uma refinaria média, a partir das quais se constrói uma descrição mais completa da carga. Esta descrição físico-química é usada para predizer os rendimentos dos principais produtos em uma ampla categoria de severidades. Diferentes funções que relacionam os rendimentos com a conversão (previamente provadas com os dados experimentais MAT), permitem avaliar o ponto de máximo potencial a gasolina e comparar qualitativamente a craqueabilidade de um conjunto de cargas. Uma extensa base de dados do Instituto Colombiano do Petróleo (ICP) com uma ampla categoria de composições foi usada para construir o modelo, a qual incluiu: 1. Cargas leves - Gasóleos de refinaria e cortes de laboratório de diferentes tipos de crus Colombianos e 2. Cargas pesadas - Resíduos ou cargas combinadas (mistura de gasóleo [GO], fundo atmosférico de vácuo [ATB], óleo desmetalizado [DMO] e óleo hidrotratado desmetalizado [DMOH] em diferentes proporções) das quatro unidades de ruptura catalítica (FCCU) da refinaria da ECOPETROL S.A de Barrancabermeja-Colômbia. Os resultados mostram uma aceitável precisão na predição do potencial de diferentes cargas de refinaria, em relação produtos valiosos como a gasolina, obtendose uma classificação confiável da sua craqueabilidade.]]></p></abstract>
<kwd-group>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[catalytic cracking]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[crackability]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[predicting properties]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="en"><![CDATA[statistical model]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[ruptura catalítica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[craqueabilidad]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[predicción de propiedades]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="es"><![CDATA[modelo estadístico]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[ruptura catalítica]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[craqueabilidade]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[predição de propriedades]]></kwd>
<kwd lng="pt"><![CDATA[modelo estatístico]]></kwd>
</kwd-group>
</article-meta>
</front><body><![CDATA[  <font face="Verdana" size="3"> <font size="4">    <p align="center"><b>PREDICTION OF THE FCC FEEDSTOCKS CRACKABILITY</b></p></font> <font size="2">    <p align="center"><b>Francy-L. Mart&iacute;nez-Cruz, Gustavo Navas-Guzm&aacute;n<sup>*</sup> and Juan-Pablo Osorio-Su&aacute;rez </b></p>     <p align="center">Ecopetrol S.A. - Instituto Colombiano del   Petr&oacute;leo, A.A. 4185 Bucaramanga, Santander,   Colombia</p>     <p align="center">e-mail: <a href="mailto:gustavo.navas@ecopetrol.com.co">gustavo.navas@ecopetrol.com.co</a> </p>     <p align="center"><i>(Received April 30, 2008; Accepted July 17, 2009)</i></p>     <p align="center"><i>* To whom correspondence should be addressed</i></p></font> <hr>     <p><b>ABSTRACT</b></p>     <p>This paper presents a   statistical model for prediction of feedstock&rsquo;s crackability (potential to   generate va-luable products on catalytic cracking process), based on   experimental reactivity data by microactivity test (MAT - Microscale Fixed Bed   Reactor) and detailed physicochemical characterization. A minimum amount of   experimental tests corresponding to feed properties (typically available at   refinery) is used to build a more complete description of feedstocks including   chemical composition and hydrocarbon distribution. Both measured and calculated   physicochemical properties are used to predict the yields of main products at   several MAT reaction severities. Different well known functions correlating   yields and conversion (previously tested with experimental data MAT) allows the   evaluation of maximum point of gasoline yield. This point is used like a   crackability index and qualitative point comparison of feedstock&rsquo;s potential.   Extensive feedstocks data base from Instituto Colombiano del Petr&oacute;leo (ICP)   with a wide range of composition were used to build the model, including the   following feeds: 1. Light feedstocks - Gasoils of refinery and laboratory cuts   from different types of Colombian crude oils and 2. Heavy feedstoks - Residues   or feedstocks combined (blending of gasoil &#91;GO&#93;, atmospheric   tower bottom &#91;ATB&#93;, demetallized oil &#91;DMO&#93;   and demetallized oil hydrotreated &#91;DMOH&#93; in several   proportions) from the four fluid catalytic cracking units (FCCU) at Ecopetrol   S.A. refinery in Barrancabermeja - Colombia . The results of model show the   prediction of valuable products such as gasoline for different refinery   feedstocks within acceptable accuracy, thus obtaining a reliable ranking of   crackability.</p>     <p><i><b>Keywords:</b> catalytic cracking,   crackability, predicting properties, statistical model.</i></p>   <hr>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><b>RESUMEN</b></p>     <p>En este trabajo se presenta un   modelo estad&iacute;stico para la predicci&oacute;n de la craqueabilidad de cargas (potencial   para generar productos valiosos en el proceso de ruptura catal&iacute;tica), basado en   datos experimentales de reactividad, obtenidos por pruebas de microactividad   (MAT - Reactor de Lecho Fijo de Laboratorio) y caracterizaci&oacute;n fisicoqu&iacute;mica   detallada. Se utiliza una cantidad m&iacute;nima de mediciones experimentales   disponibles en una refiner&iacute;a promedio, a partir de las cuales se construye una   descripci&oacute;n m&aacute;s completa de la carga. Esta descripci&oacute;n fisicoqu&iacute;mica es usada   para&nbsp; predecir los rendimientos de los principales productos en un amplio   rango de severidades. Diferentes funciones que relacionan los rendimientos con   la conversi&oacute;n (previamente probadas con los datos experimentales MAT), permiten   evaluar el punto de m&aacute;ximo potencial a gasolina y comparar cualitativamente la   craqueabilidad de un conjunto de cargas. Una extensa base de datos del   Instituto Colombiano del Petr&oacute;leo (ICP) con un amplio rango de composiciones   fue usada para construir el modelo, la cual incluy&oacute;: 1. Cargas livianas -   Gas&oacute;leos de refiner&iacute;a y cortes de laboratorio de diferentes tipos de crudos   Colombianos y 2. Cargas pesadas - Residuos o cargas combinadas (mezcla de   gas&oacute;leo &#91;GO&#93;, fondo atmosf&eacute;rico de vac&iacute;o   &#91;ATB&#93;, aceite desmetalizado &#91;DMO&#93; y aceite   hidrotratado desmetalizado &#91;DMOH&#93; en diferentes proporciones)   de las cuatro unidades de ruptura catal&iacute;tica (FCCU) de la refiner&iacute;a de   ECOPETROL S.A de Barrancabermeja-Colombia. Los resultados muestran una   aceptable precisi&oacute;n en la predicci&oacute;n del potencial de distintas cargas de   refiner&iacute;a, respecto a productos valiosos como la gasolina, obteni&eacute;ndose una   clasificaci&oacute;n confiable de su craqueabilidad. </p>     <p><b><i>Palabras   Clave</i></b><i>: ruptura     catal&iacute;tica, craqueabilidad, predicci&oacute;n de propiedades, modelo estad&iacute;stico.</i></p> 	<hr>     <p><b>RESUMEN</b></p>     <p>Neste trabalho apresenta-se um modelo   estat&iacute;stico para a predi&ccedil;&atilde;o da craqueabilidade de cargas (potencial para gerar   produtos valiosos no processo de ruptura catal&iacute;tica), baseado em dados   experimentais de reatividade, obtidos por provas de micro-atividade (MAT -   Reator de Leito Fixo de Laborat&oacute;rio) e caracteriza&ccedil;&atilde;o f&iacute;sico-qu&iacute;mica detalhada.   Utilizase uma quantidade m&iacute;nima de medi&ccedil;&otilde;es experimentais dispon&iacute;veis em uma   refinaria m&eacute;dia, a partir das quais se constr&oacute;i uma descri&ccedil;&atilde;o mais completa da   carga. Esta descri&ccedil;&atilde;o f&iacute;sico-qu&iacute;mica &eacute; usada para&nbsp; predizer os rendimentos   dos principais produtos em uma ampla categoria de severidades. Diferentes   fun&ccedil;&otilde;es que relacionam os rendimentos com a convers&atilde;o (previamente provadas com   os dados experimentais MAT), permitem avaliar o ponto de m&aacute;ximo potencial a   gasolina e comparar qualitativamente a craqueabilidade de um conjunto de   cargas. Uma extensa base de dados do Instituto Colombiano do Petr&oacute;leo (ICP) com   uma ampla categoria de composi&ccedil;&otilde;es foi usada para construir o modelo, a qual   incluiu: 1. Cargas leves - Gas&oacute;leos de refinaria e cortes de laborat&oacute;rio de   diferentes tipos de crus Colombianos e 2. Cargas pesadas - Res&iacute;duos ou cargas   combinadas (mistura de gas&oacute;leo &#91;GO&#93;, fundo atmosf&eacute;rico de   v&aacute;cuo &#91;ATB&#93;, &oacute;leo desmetalizado &#91;DMO&#93; e   &oacute;leo hidrotratado desmetalizado &#91;DMOH&#93; em diferentes   propor&ccedil;&otilde;es) das quatro unidades de ruptura catal&iacute;tica (FCCU) da refinaria da   ECOPETROL S.A de Barrancabermeja-Col&ocirc;mbia. Os resultados mostram uma aceit&aacute;vel   precis&atilde;o na predi&ccedil;&atilde;o do potencial de diferentes cargas de refinaria, em rela&ccedil;&atilde;o   produtos valiosos como a gasolina, obtendose uma classifica&ccedil;&atilde;o confi&aacute;vel da sua   craqueabilidade. </p>     <p><b><i>Palavras   Chave:</i></b><i> ruptura     catal&iacute;tica, craqueabilidade, predi&ccedil;&atilde;o de propriedades, modelo estat&iacute;stico. </i></p> 	<hr>     <p><b>INTRODUCTION</b></p>     <p>The process of catalytic   cracking is one of the most important conversion processes in a petroleum   refinery. It plays a key role in the production of valuable fuels such as high   octane gasoline from feedstocks with high boiling point and low economic value.   The effect of the processed feedstock quality on the yields is very important   and has been frequently studied in order to predict the potentiality of the   feedstock in terms of its chemical composition. Although different methods have   been proposed to achieve this aim, one can distinguish two major trends   reported in the literature: the first one uses a pseudo reactive model whose   kinetic parameters represent conversion velocity among actual yields, according   to boiling point products and nature feeds (lumps). The objective in this case   is to correlate feedstock characte-ristics with those parameters. Voltz, Nace,   &amp; Weekman (1971) and Ancheyta, L&oacute;pez, &amp; Aguilar (1998) used a   three-lump model and correlated its parameters with structural properties in   order to calculate the yield of cracking vacuum gasoils. The second and more   common alternative consists in the direct correlation of properties with   yields. The advantage in this case is the possibility to infer the impact of   feedstock in products in one single step. Some authors like Bollas, Vasalos,   Lappas, Latridis &amp; Tsioni (2004) use a simple model reactor to involve   cracking conditions (residence time and temperature) furthermore to correlate   crackabilty with the feed characteristics.</p>     <p>Fisher (1990) conducted a   pioneer study to understand the influence of different types of carbon and   aromatic structures on the catalytic cracking products, thus proposing the   well-known concept of precursors. By performing mass spectrometry studies on   different vacuum gasoils, he found a direct correlation between the paraffin,   cycloparaffin, and monoaromatic content with the gasoline and conversion yield   at the maximum point gasoline yield, obtained in MAT tests. He concluded that   this point can be utilized as a comparative parameter for feedstock quality.   Similarly, Lerner &amp; Himpsl (1997) observed that the condensation degree of   aromatic compounds plays a direct role in feedstock crackability. The relation   between the reaction parame-ters from the threelump models and the ratio   aromatic to naphthenic structures and paraffinic to naphthenic carbon published   by Voltz, Nace, &amp; Weekman, (1971) and Ancheyta, L&oacute;pez, &amp; Aguilar,   (1998) respectively, coincide with the conclusions of Fisher (1990) and Lerner,   &amp; Himpsl (1997). Sheppard,<i> </i>Al-Alloush, Green, Zagula, Young,&nbsp;   &amp; Wisecarver <i>&nbsp;</i>(2003) used the hydrogen to carbon plus sulfur   ratio as a key factor of gasoline yield, corrected by hydrocarbon and sulfur   compounds that boil below the reaction temperature (determined by mass   spectroscopy studies) and affected by total nitrogen and metals. The coke yield   was expressed in function of the residual microcarbon content (MCR) and on   exponential equation of basic nitrogen, sulfur, and me-tals. The gas, LCO   (Light Cycle Oil) and HCO (Heavy Cycle Oil) yields also were predicted with   multiple linear correlations of&nbsp; MCR, metals, sulfur, nitrogen, and   hydrogen. Mariaca, Rodriguez, &amp; Maya<i> </i>(2003) proposed the reactive   hydrogen like crackability index, determined by mass spectroscopy on vacuum   gasoils. This was correlated in linear form with saturated content, hydrogen,   and Kw factor (Watson&rsquo;s characterization factor) and expressed the cracking   yields by inverse polynomial equation. </p>     <p>Improvement in instrumental techniques   and new data processing methods have made possible the direct use of   spectroscopic signals (which respond in an unique manner to the composition of   a petroleum fraction) in order to infer feed properties and variation of   products characteristics in conversion processes. Baldrich, &amp; Novoa (2007)   presented a recent application of visible UV spectroscopy to infer structural   properties of medium distillates and light gasoils (performed by   high-resolution mass spectrophotometry) with excellent predicting results.   However, the instrumental techniques are strongly limited for light and medium   feedstocks analysis, their availability, cost and usefulness. </p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>Instrumental measurements are   indispensable in the above mentioned works. However, parallel efforts have been   made to correlate bulk properties with basic structural and molecular   characteristics, in order to predict the feed crackability. This aim is better   applicable to the scope of a refinery, because bulk properties are easy to   measure and they are typically used in the control of processes. Shi, Xu,   Cheng, Hu &amp; Wang (1999) related gasoline and vacuum coke residues   crackability by a new characterization index (KH), defined by the molecular   weight, density, and atomic H/C ratio of the feedstock. Bollas <i>et al.</i> (2004) determined an index crackability and coking tendency as a function of   carbon atoms number subject to cracking (non-aromatic carbon obtained by the   ndM empirical method) and nitrogen atoms number. The feedstock was divided in   pseudo components in order to reconstruct light and&nbsp; heavy fractions that   exhibit better correlation with the indexes mentioned above, and whose sum   represented the characteristics of the whole feed. Ng, Wang, Fairbridge, Zhu,   Yang, Ding, &amp; Yui (2004) reintroduced the concept of precursors and   corre-lated in linear form, the maximum gasoline yield with the saturated and   monoaromatic compounds and LCO yield with the diaromatic and triaromatic   compounds. Xu, Gao, Zhao, &amp; Lin (2005) developed empirical corre-lations to   predict gasoline and coke yields as a function of the SARA   (Saturates-Aromatics-Resins-Asphaltenes) fraction composition in vacuum   deasphalted residues.</p>     <p>In this work, bulk properties,   and structural characteristics are correlated with MAT yields, for numerous gasoils   and combined feedstocks. The objective of this work was to develop a   physicochemical and crackability prediction for studying and evaluating the   impact of feedstock composition variability in the FCC process. Reactivity data   are related with simple linear functions between yields and conversion in order   to: get a graphical description of feedstock reactivity and establish the   maximum gasoline yield point. This point is utilized like a crackability index   to define the potential feed quality.</p>     <p>Crackability is defined as the   maximum potential of a feedstock to generate valuable products. This   characteristic is closely related to feedstock structural composition due to   the fact that each hydrocarbon family tends to react in similar way, having a   preferential contribution to certain yield. In all cases, the increment of    molecular size or carbons number facilitates the cracking of molecule. In the   catalyst takes place multiple reactions like cracking, hydrogen transfer,   isomerization, dehydrogenation, polymerization and condensation. Even the   catalytic cracking of a linear paraffinic molecule is complex. Some authors as   Dewachtere, Santaella &amp; Fromen (1999) use sophisticated kinetic models,   which involve a great number of compounds on chemical reaction networks to   approach the effect of feed composition on yields and products quality.   However, it is possible to highlight some general characteristics for the three   main hydrocarbon families present in petroleum. Para-ffin molecules produce   olefins and smaller paraffins. Linear and low molecular weight paraffins do not   react easily and their crackability increases with the presence of tertiary   carbons, and decreases with quaternary carbons. Naphthenic molecules tend to   crack to gasoline in large proportion. The quality (Octane Number) of this   gasoline is higher than the gasoline generated by paraffins, with an important   content of aromatic molecules as a result of naphthenic ring dehydrogenation.   Aromatic molecules are considered as hardbreaking structures. However, alkylic   chains more frequent in low condensed aromatics (mono and diaromatics) can be   easily detached from the aromatic ring. Aromatic molecules without lateral   chains are important generators of coke and gas as the rings condensed number   increases in their structure. Large molecules such as resins and asphaltenes   exhibit a direct trend toward the generation of heavy fractions and coke.   Therefore, the feedstocks for catalytic cracking undergo a pre-treatment   process to withdraw these compounds.</p>     <p>The presence of contaminants,   such as nitrogen, is also related to feedstock crackability due to its   neutralizing effect of catalyst acidity. Metals such as Vanadium and Nickel   act as strong poisons that destroy the zeolite structure. However, unlike   nitrogen, their effect is not instantaneous and is reflected at long term,   destroying the crystalline catalyst network. Sulfur affects mainly the   distribution and quality of products, although it does not affect crackability   in a significant manner. In general, the increment of these elements in the   feedstock is related to the increase of aromatic structures because they   represent their structural composition indirectly and can therefore correlate   their reactivity. Bulk properties such as density, index refraction, and   distillation curve also reflect the feedstock structural character,   particularly when they are used conjointly in the classification factors (KUOP   factor, Correlation Index, ndM Method, molecular weight - see annex).</p>     <p>When the catalytic cracking   products of two feeds are compared, the relative differences between yields are   maintained (the qualitative tendency not the quantitative difference of   values), independently of the unit in which they are evaluated. Of course this   crackabilty concept is true only if the catalyst and reaction conditions used   on two feedstocks were the same. This suggests that there is some relation   between yields obtained in different units. Ng <i>et al.</i> (2004) found a   linear correlation between the yields obtained in a Riser and MAT yields at   constant conversion (Riser-Yield <b>=</b> b + m * MAT-Yield). Figure 1   illustrates the crackability of two gasoils (CDU <b>=</b> gasoil from a crude   distillation unit and VB <b>=</b> gasoil from a visbreaker unit), evaluated in   three different units from ICP (MAT- microscale fixed bed reactor, DCR -   fluidized bed pilot unit and FFB - fluidized fixed bed laboratory reactor) with   the same catalyst. It is evident that relative yields between the two   feedstocks are maintained, even though reactions severities are not comparable   from one unit to the other.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i1.jpg"><a name="fig1"></a></p>     <p><b>EXPERIMENTAL WORK</b></p>     <p>The feedstocks used for model   development were divided in two groups (light and heavy feedstocks). The first   group corresponded to gasoils obtained through sampling procedures in refinery   and laboratory cuts from Colombian crude oils of different nature (from highly   paraffinic crude oil - Cusiana to highly aromatic crude oil - Castilla, <a href="#fig2">Figure 2</a>).   Among refinery gasoils, most of them virgins (atmospherics and vacuum), were   included gasoils from visbreaking and hydrotreating process. As a result, 82   gasoils with detailed physicochemical information constituted the database of   light feedstock. The second group corresponded to residues selected from ICP   database. This database covers detailed five year physicochemical information   of both individual and combined feeds of the four Barrancabermeja refinery FCC units.   Principal component statistical analysis (PCA) was applied to identify those   feeds with large physicochemical variability. Additionally, five typical   individual feeds were selected: light and heavy vacuum gasoils (LVGO, HVGO),   atmospheric tower bottom (ATB), demetallized oil (DMO), which correspond to   lighter fraction from deasphalted vacuum tower residue, and hydrotreated DMO   (DMOH). As a result, 21 residues with several compositions constituted the   database of heavy feedstocks. <a href="tb1">Table 1</a> shows the wide range of physicochemical   characteristics of gasoils and residues used in the construction of the model.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i2.jpg"><a name="tb1"></a></p>     <p>The different characteristics   of feedstocks ensured a strong structural variability, reflected in its   hydrocarbon distribution (paraffinic, naphthenic and aromatic - <a href="#fig3">Figure 3</a>).   It promoted marked differences in the yield products distribution and permitted   the model to take into account different types of feedstock that a FCCU is able   to process. </p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>Reactivity experimental design   used for the evaluation of feedstocks crackability (<a href="#tb2">Table 2</a>)   was the result of previous experimental analysis using as starting point the   conclusions of sequential design of experiments technique conducted by Reina   &amp; Osorio (2005) in the same unit. The MAT unit operating conditions   (Cat/Oil ratio, injection time and feedstock flow) were optimized keeping   repeatability values less than 1% in the gasoline yield variation and mass   balance between 98 and 102%. The objective was to obtain a product yield curve   profile in a wide reaction conditions range. However, the temperature was fixed   at 515&deg;C for gasoils and 530&deg;C for residues. Two base equilibrium catalysts   (ECAT) from the FCCU Barrancabermeja refinery were selected, one for gasoils   and other one for residues, considering good industrial performance in terms of   activity and coke selectivity. In conclusion, with the MAT experimental design,   it was possible to obtain complete product yield selectivity curves accor-ding   with the feedstock reactivity.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i3.jpg"><a name="fig2"></a></p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i4.jpg"><a name="fig3"></a></p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i5.jpg"><a name="tb2"></a></p>     <p>Linear functions between   product yields and feedstock conversion (<a href="#tb3">Table 3</a>), some of them frequently used to check   the coherence of experimental results, are utilized as interpolation tool. <a href="#fig4">Figure 4</a> shows an example of the MAT tests for a light gasoil, exhibiting excellent   adjustment for each function. The gasoline conversion curve is fit by the   linear function between its selectivity and the kinetic conversion. Its optimum   point corresponds to the maximum gasoline yield that can be obtained from the   feedstock at the MAT unit. The conversion at this point can be replaced in the   other functions to estimate the yields else. This maximum point is used for the   construction of a feedstocks crackability ranking.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i6.jpg"><a name="tb3"></a></p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i7.jpg"><a name="fig4"></a></p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i8.jpg"><a name="tb4"></a></p>     <p><b>RESULTS</b></p>     <p><b>Prediction of Physicochemical   Properties</b></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>Correlations were developed for   gasoils and combined feedstocks separately, by multiple linear regressions. The   objective was to predict full physicochemical characteristics from a minimum   number of basic properties. A set of equations was established to estimate bulk   (Aniline point, MCR, Viscosity and Refraction Index), structural (Shell   aromatics and SAR distribution) and composition characteristics (Nitrogen and   Sulfur), from only two basic feedstock properties (API and Distillation Curve). <a href="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i8a.jpg" target="_blank">Table 4</a> shows the mean absolute errors (MAE) obtained with the correlations and   experimental repeatability values of each laboratory test (R. Exp.). The   correlation for sulfur exhibits the largest mean error. Considering that sulfur   concentration in feedstocks to FCCU is about 8.000 ppm, the estimation relative   error would be 11%, which is acceptable. Regarding the remaining correlations,   a better adjustment to the experimental data was achieved with relative errors   below 5%, and absolute average error close to experimental repeatability value   for each test.</p>     <p>Due to the importance of the   aromatic fraction and its distribution (mono, di, tri and tetra aromatics) in   feedstock crackability, prediction and validation results of this property are   presented. <a href="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i9a.jpg" target="_blank">Figure 5</a> compares the estimation from the   FCC-SIM &reg; rigorous commercial simulator of the catalytic cracking process by   KBC Profimatics (Copyright &copy; KBC Advanced Technology plc Version   2004-1.5) with the correlation developed. Better adjustment of the   correlation to experimental data (values are showed in ascending order and   graphic scales are identical) is clearly observed. <a href="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i10a.jpg" target="_blank">Figure 6</a> shows the validation conducted with gasoils outside development database   (validation database). Good predictive results were attained, including two   foreign gasoils from imported crude oils (ABO and Escravos gasoils -Six first   points on the graphics).</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i9.jpg"><a name="fig5"></a></p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i10.jpg"><a name="fig6"></a></p>     <p><b>Prediction of Crackability</b></p>     <p>Yields estimated at different   reaction severities (<a href="#tb2">Table 2</a>) in the MAT unit were directly   correlated to feedstock properties by multiple linear regressions (<a href="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i11a.jpg" target="_blank">Table 5</a>).   The correlated properties and mathematical formulation obtained for each yield   correlation were kept independently of reaction condition. Therefore, only the   constants reflected the effect of severity changes. This indicates that the   correlated properties have strong influence on the corresponding yields,   despite their selection was only consequence from statistical criteria.   Differences between correlated properties for gasoils and residues are   reasonable because of high boiling points and mixed composition of residues in   contrast with the more defined origin of gasoils and its lower boiling points.   However, the correlation for gasoline prediction results in function of   condensed aromatic compounds with 3 and 4 rings, and basic nitrogen for both   cases. This result seems to contradict the influence of saturated precursors   found by Fisher (1990) and Ng <i>et al</i>. (2004), and it partially agrees   with Voltz <i>et al.</i> (1971) and Ancheyta <i>et al</i>. (1998) regar-ding the   aromatics and nitrogen, respectively. Results obtained by Xu <i>et al</i>.   (2005) also show an acceptable trend with SARA distribution. However,   prediction is not sufficiently good, reporting a mean absolute error higher   than 2% in gasoline for a small set of feedstocks (6 deasphalted residues), as   compared to 0,86% for the correlation obtained for the wide range composition   of feedstocks (98 altogether). </p>     <p>The aromatic distribution has   an important impact in general feedstock conversion. As Lerner &amp; Himpsl (1997)   concluded, there is a great influence of the feedstock condensation degree on   crackability and it is more applicable for residues due to its highest   poliaromatics content. This conclusion is observed in the participation of each   type of aromatic structure in correlations: monoaromatic (1 correlation),   diaromatic (3 correlations), triaromatic (8 correlations) and tetraromatics (11   correlations). </p>     <p>The influence of classification   factors was very low and no correlation between the ndM classification and cracka-bility   was observed, as Ancheyta <i>et al.</i> (1998) and Bollas <i>et al.</i> (2004)   found it. For gasoils, whose MCR content is very low, aromatics and resins   influenced coke prediction severely, while residues were better correlated with   tri and tetraromatics, MCR, molecular weight, boiling point, and Total   Nitrogen. All these compounds are indicators of a feedstock coking tendency. </p>     <p>The only heteroatom that had an   impact on cracka-bility was nitrogen, particularly its basic character content.   Sulfur and metals did not exhibit any relation to catalytic reactivity. <a href="#fig7">Figure 7</a> shows parity plots for the prediction of different yields of combined   feedstocks. An acceptable correlation and very low prediction average absolute   error is observed, comparable to the experimental repeatability of MAT tests. </p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i11.jpg"><a name="tb5"></a></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i12.jpg"><a name="fig7"></a></p>     <p>Evaluation of maximum yield   gasoline was conducted on each feedstock, according to the following procedure:</p>     <p>· The slope and intercept of   the linear relation between gasoline selectivity and kinetic conversion was   calculated.</p>   <ul>     <li>A theoretical gasoline   selectivity curve was obtained replacing, in the previously equation,   conversion values between 0% and 100%.</li>     <li>The maximum point of gasoline   yield is calculated from gasoline selectivity curve optimization. </li>     <li>The conversion obtained was   used in the other selectivity curves to calculate the yield of re-maining   products (dry gas, LPG, LCO, slurry oil and coke).</li>       </ul>     <p><a href="#fig8">Figure 8</a> shows the yields at the maximum gasoline point, estimated from MAT experimental   data and from calculated values applying the developed correlations. The model   responds satisfactorily to the experimental trend observed and highlighted with   excellent fit Gasoline, LCO and Coke prediction. Particularly, for the first   five points of each graph that correspond to individual feedstocks, whose   chara-cteristics represent extreme of possible feedstocks to FCCU. </p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i13.jpg"><a name="fig8"></a></p>     <p>The concept of crackability   used in this work and the statistical model (physicochemical estimation   correlations, crackability estimation correlations, and estimation of maximum   gasoline potential) were validated with two different feedstock groups: the   first group corresponds to a set of processed gasoils of historical background   FCCU Cartagena Refinery (ECOPETROL S.A.) and an imported gasoil (API = 26, NB =   210 ppm, MeABP = 790 &deg;F, and Total Aromatics = 11,3%). The second group   consists of different and more recently combined feedstocks outside of   development database (validation database). These feeds were evaluated at the   ICP FCC pilot plant (DCR), at different severities. Gasoils were evaluated with   a diffe-rent catalyst to the one used in the MAT reactivity tests of developed   model, while the same catalyst was used with the combined feedstocks. </p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p>With only two basic available   properties in refinery (distillation curve and API gravity), the remaining   charac-teristics and the MAT yields of each feedstock were calculated. The   procedure to evaluate maximum yield of gasoline was then applied on   experimental DCR pilot plant data and estimated MAT data by statistical model.   Figure 9 compares the results. It is observed that the relative variation of   gasoline potential at the pilot plant is very similar to the variation   estimated by the model in both cases. It is important to highlight that the use   of a different catalyst for gasoils did not affect such trend and values   proximity is only coincidental. Even for imported gasoils, whose nature and   origin is unknown and almost certainly is different with respect to gasoils of   Colombian crude oils, the relative gasoline potential is well predicted.&nbsp;   On the other hand, combined feedstocks (evaluated with the same base catalyst   used in the development model) show Riser gasoline yields higher than estimated   values for MAT, but alike gasoils the relative variation is very similar. These   results are consistent with the crackability concept and evaluation proposed in   this work, in which the maximum gasoline yield is a key parameter to evaluate   the potential of feedstocks on catalytic cracking process, independent from the   inherent conditions of unit and catalyst.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i14.jpg"><a name="fig9"></a></p>     <p><b>Applied cases</b></p>     <p>The following three   illustrative cases show the influence predicted by the model of different feeds   on catalytic reactivity. </p>     <p><b>Case I</b>: Five full range vacuum gasoils from   Colombian crude oils, with widely different characteristics, showed a trend   that is coherent to their nature (<a href="#tb6">Table 6</a> and <a href="#fig10">Figure 10</a>). For the Cupiagua crude oil gasoil, higher   gasoline yield is observed since this is a highly paraffinic feedstock (KUOP =   12,35 and %Cp = 71,34).&nbsp; On the contrary, the gasoil from the Castilla   crude oil exhibits lower gasoline yield, due to its high aromatic nature (KUOP   = 11,25 and %Ca = 25,2).&nbsp; The gasoil from the Cusiana crude oil is highly   paraffinic and reach similar conversions as well as Cupiagua. However, its   higher nitrogen content affects its gasoline selectivity. The remaining gasoils   (OCL and Caño Limon) are characteristic of&nbsp; intermediate - type crude oil   (naphthenic oils), as it was estimated by the model.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i15.jpg"><a name="tb6"></a></p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i16.jpg"><a name="fig10"></a></p>     <p><b>Case II: </b>A virgin gasoil from crude distillation   unit (CDU) is compared to gas oil from the visbreaking process on vacuum tower   residua (VB) and with a blend of 80% weight of CDU + 20% weight VB (<a href="#fig11">Figure 11</a>).   It is then coherent that the maximum gasoline point and its conversion for the   virgin gasoil are greater than visbreaking gasoil point. Obviously, the blend   should be in between. Besides, it is observed that even thought the VB gasoil   fraction is only 20%, it exerts a much greater influence over blend   crackability, affecting its selectivity to gasoline severely.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i17.jpg"><a name="fig11"></a></p>     <p><b>Case III:</b> A demetallized residue (DMO) is   hydrotreated at three different temperatures. Its quality for catalytic   cracking increases with the hydrotreatment severity because of replacement of   contaminant elements such as sulfur, nitrogen and metals by hydrogen and   because of saturation of aromatic rings. Therefore, the gasoline potential of   the feedstock also increases with the severity of the hydrotreatment (<a href="#fig12">Figure 12</a>),   where DMOH 1, 2, and 3 were processed at 330, 350 and 370 &deg;C temperatures,   respectively.</p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i18.jpg"><a name="fig12"></a></p>     <p><b>CONCLUSIONS</b></p> <ul>     <li>A statistical model for   physicochemical properties and crackability prediction of feedstocks for fluid   catalytic cracking process was completed. The model exhibits acceptable   description and agreement with the experimental data of a broad set of   feedstock from different origins and characteristics. Basic properties such as   distillation curve and density allow calculating structural and composition   properties such as the content of basic nitrogen, distribution of aromatic   carbon and SAR distribution, among others. The correlations developed suggest   that these properties are strongly related to the capability of feedstocks to   catalytic cracking, especially the condensation degree or the presence of 3 or   more aromatic ring structures.</li>     <li>The use of linear functions   between conversion and products is a simple but effective way to obtain the   maximum gasoline potential point. This parameter was correctly estimated by the   model and its use as a crackability index was found independent from reaction   conditions, catalytic unit and catalyst. In conclusion, even an absolute devoid   of detailed physicochemical and catalytic reactivity data (typical at refinery   because of logistic and economic inconveniences), can be solved by models based   on basic feedstock properties.</li>       </ul>     <p><b>ACKNOWLEDGMENTS</b></p>     <p>The authors express their   gratitude to the Catalysis Laboratory Team of Instituto Colombiano del Petr&oacute;leo   (ICP), led by Carlos Medina (Chemist MSc), for the cooperation provided and the   conjoint work in the MAT microactivity tests used in this research. Special   gratitude to researchers Carlos Baldrich (Chemist MSc) and Uriel Navarro   (Chemist PhD) for their advising and valuable knowledge that enriched the   content of this document.</p>     <p><b>ANNEX</b></p>     <p><b>Characterization factor   (KUOP). </b>&#91;Referred   by Algelt &amp; Boduszinski (1994)&#93;: This factor determines the   dominant hydrocarbon family in the composition of a petroleum fraction. Values   equal to or greater than 12 indicate paraffinic nature. Values equal to or less   than 11,5 indicate aromatic nature and values of between 11,5 and 12 indicate a   naphthenic or intermediate nature.&nbsp; </p>     <p align="center"><b><i>KUOP</i></b><b> = (<i>CABP</i> +459,7)<sup>1/3</sup>/SG<sup>&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp; </sup><i>(1)</i></b><a name="equ1"></a></p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p class=ningnestilodeprrafo>SG =   Specific gravity at 60 &deg;F</p>     <p>CABP = Cubic Average Boiling   Point in &deg;F</p>     <p><b>Correlation Index (IC). </b>&#91;Referred by Speight   (1991)&#93;: This index was developed by the U.S.B. of Mines, based on the   graph of specific gravity and the reciprocal value of the boiling point (K) of   pure hydrocarbons. It indicates the type of hydrocarbon prevailing in a   feedstock, using a wider range of values than the KUOP factor and marked by the   most paraffinic structure (the hexane with a IC of 0) and the most aromatic   structure (the benzene with a IC of 100). The   cyclohexane have a IC value of 50.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i19.jpg"><a name="equ2"></a></p>     <p>MeABP = Mean Average Boiling   temperature in K</p>     <p><b>ndM Method.</b> &#91;Referred by Algelt &amp;   Boduszinski (1994)&#93;: It estimates the aromatic carbon (%Ca),   para-ffinic carbon (%Cp), and naphthenic carbon (%Cn) distribution from the   refraction index (n), density (d), and molecular weight (M). The following   correlations must be used with measurements at 70&deg;C.</p>     <p align="center"><img src="img/revistas/ctyf/v3n5/v3n5a8i20.jpg"><a name="equ3"></a><a name="equ4"></a><a name="equ5"></a><a name="equ6"></a><a name="equ7"></a><a name="equ8"></a></p>     <p><i>x</i> &gt; 0, A = 410</p>     <p><i>x</i> &lt; 0, A = 720</p>     <p><i>y</i> &gt; 0, B = 775 y C = 11500 </p>     ]]></body>
<body><![CDATA[<p><i>y </i>&lt; 0, B = 1440 y C = 12100</p>     <p>S= Sulfur content (% weight)</p>     <p><b>Molecular Weight (MW).</b> According to the UOP 375-86 method.</p>     <p><b><i>MV = anti</i></b><b> log &#91;<i>IxM+J+(L/M)</i>&#93;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;   (9)</b><a name="equ9"></a></p>     <p><b>I = -0,000067214393D2-0,0013189667D+   0,002322975&nbsp;&nbsp; (10)</b><a name="equ10"></a></p>     <p><b>J =   1,496307D2-2,4028499D+2,7013135&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;(11)</b><a name="equ11"></a></p>     <p><b>L =   -166,84095D2-240,43988D-92,008149&nbsp;&nbsp; (12)</b><a name="equ12"></a></p>     <p>M (MeABP) = Mean Average   Boiling Point in &deg;F</p>     <p>C (CABP) = Cubic Average   Boiling Point in &deg;F</p>     <p>D = Specific gravity at 60 &deg;F</p> <hr>     ]]></body>
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